HSX Forum

Movies

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume)

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 02, 07:33

https://twitter.com/BoxOffice/status/440142337612992512

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:33

Non-Stop - 30 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:35

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:44

Son Of God - 26.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:45

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:57

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:05

The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:09

ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:15

Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? shortit Mar 02, 11:50

Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% elchan2012 Mar 02, 08:25

Do you think there's enough variation in the data points. Most the the predictors are engaging in group think or looking at the same trackin {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 09:01

Yes, there is sufficient variance. The mean standard deviation between the forecasters over 4 years is 2.84. (zero being no variance) {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 09:18

The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... KalElFan Mar 02, 09:46

The regression model will account for the boneheadedness. If they consistently low ball, or high ball, they are weighted lower. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:06

What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:19

This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:28

The Bonehead winner each week could be fun though. :-) Also, calling it a regression model doesn't make it much more than what it mainly... KalElFan Mar 02, 10:41

Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) elchan2012 Mar 02, 11:28

The concept of a regression analysis is that there is an independent variable and a dependent variables. The OW is not dependent on the GMov Mar 02, 10:12

What about this KurtPilo Mar 02, 11:58

I thought it was using HSX stock price as the dependent variable. otherwise, you're right and a weighted average is more appropriate. {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 12:21

Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Budd Mar 02, 08:42





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 100 3.89 (+0.03)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 125000 120.21 (+0.10)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 25000 31.88 (-0.11)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Sinners - Original Screenplay (A6OSIN) 25000 11.10 (0.00)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 166 62.31 (-1.84)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1 24.42 (-0.12)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 150000 7.48 (+1.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.02 (-0.34)          Sinners - Original Screenplay (A6OSIN) 25000 11.10 (0.00)          Heel (HEEL) 10000 1.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 5000 24.02 (-0.34)          Shiver (SHVER) 149999 62.31 (-1.84)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 19.14 (+2.47)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 19.14 (+2.47)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.72 (+0.06)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.88 (+0.17)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 100 2.42 (+0.20)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 145 109.88 (+2.80)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 1 13.37 (+1.78)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100 50.34 (+0.47)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.72 (+0.06)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.20)          Dracula (DRALT) 104523 4.09 (+0.11)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 0.87 (+0.03)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 0.87 (+0.03)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 50.34 (+0.47)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3998 11.90 (-0.64)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 8000 307.31 (-1.05)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 19.14 (+2.47)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 98 5.59 (+1.38)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 21999 13.37 (+1.78)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 11000 24.02 (-0.34)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.21 (+0.06)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.21 (+0.06)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.88 (+0.17)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 35.72 (+0.50)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 19.14 (+2.47)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.16 (+0.08)          Shelter (SELTR) 1 12.33 (-0.93)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 14.95 (-0.12)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 14.95 (-0.12)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 1 24.02 (-0.34)