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Movies

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 02, 07:44 in response to RazorHawk's post 3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume)

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status/440149689879388161

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:33

Non-Stop - 30 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:35

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:44

Son Of God - 26.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:45

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:57

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:05

The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:09

ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:15

Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? shortit Mar 02, 11:50

Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% elchan2012 Mar 02, 08:25

Do you think there's enough variation in the data points. Most the the predictors are engaging in group think or looking at the same trackin {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 09:01

Yes, there is sufficient variance. The mean standard deviation between the forecasters over 4 years is 2.84. (zero being no variance) {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 09:18

The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... KalElFan Mar 02, 09:46

The regression model will account for the boneheadedness. If they consistently low ball, or high ball, they are weighted lower. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:06

What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:19

This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:28

The Bonehead winner each week could be fun though. :-) Also, calling it a regression model doesn't make it much more than what it mainly... KalElFan Mar 02, 10:41

Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) elchan2012 Mar 02, 11:28

The concept of a regression analysis is that there is an independent variable and a dependent variables. The OW is not dependent on the GMov Mar 02, 10:12

What about this KurtPilo Mar 02, 11:58

I thought it was using HSX stock price as the dependent variable. otherwise, you're right and a weighted average is more appropriate. {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 12:21

Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Budd Mar 02, 08:42





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Insidious 6 (NSID6) 20000 31.99 (+0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 10999 12.08 (+0.58)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 5.57 (+1.36)          The Riders (RIDER) 70000 34.93 (+0.44)          The Riders (RIDER) 110000 34.93 (+0.44)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 1001 12.08 (+0.58)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 25000 11.64 (-0.90)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 499 10.07 (+0.27)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 3000 1.92 (0.00)          Sender (SENDR) 20000 10.57 (+1.38)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 143.32 (-0.33)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 61.32 (-2.83)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 20000 13.23 (+1.64)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 9999 10.07 (+0.27)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 10000 28.25 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 25000 11.64 (-0.90)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 9962 3.70 (-0.01)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 10000 8.50 (0.00)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 962 3.70 (-0.01)          Sender (SENDR) 20000 10.57 (+1.38)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 1000 11.89 (+0.02)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 5.57 (+1.36)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 20000 18.63 (+1.96)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 3000 243.16 (+0.83)          Pillion (PILON) 979 2.45 (-0.02)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 100000 13.23 (+1.64)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 100 1.02 (+0.02)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100000 18.63 (+1.96)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 1 235.14 (+0.50)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 1000 235.14 (+0.50)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 13.23 (+1.64)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 50000 18.63 (+1.96)          Michael (MJACK) 6 170.74 (+0.66)          The Drama (TDRAM) 26813 22.39 (+0.13)          Dhurandhar 2 (DHUR2) 150000 9.40 (+0.03)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.64 (-0.90)          Michael (MJACK) 1000 170.74 (+0.66)          The Moment (MOMNT) 4999 9.12 (-0.01)          Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) 150000 32.87 (-0.16)          Gatto (GATTO) 3000 111.02 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 10000 38.41 (-0.04)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 10000 38.41 (-0.04)          The Moment (MOMNT) 983 9.12 (-0.01)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.57 (+1.36)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.57 (+1.36)          Shiver (SHVER) 50000 61.32 (-2.83)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 17000 120.48 (+0.37)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 907 1.02 (+0.02)          Shiver (SHVER) 50000 61.32 (-2.83)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 1000 0.84 (0.00)