HSX Forum

Movies

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume)

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 02, 07:57 in response to RazorHawk's post 3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume)

https://twitter.com/BoxOffice/status/440153206321336320

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:33

Non-Stop - 30 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:35

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:44

Son Of God - 26.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:45

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:57

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:05

The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:09

ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:15

Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? shortit Mar 02, 11:50

Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% elchan2012 Mar 02, 08:25

Do you think there's enough variation in the data points. Most the the predictors are engaging in group think or looking at the same trackin {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 09:01

Yes, there is sufficient variance. The mean standard deviation between the forecasters over 4 years is 2.84. (zero being no variance) {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 09:18

The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... KalElFan Mar 02, 09:46

The regression model will account for the boneheadedness. If they consistently low ball, or high ball, they are weighted lower. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:06

What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:19

This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:28

The Bonehead winner each week could be fun though. :-) Also, calling it a regression model doesn't make it much more than what it mainly... KalElFan Mar 02, 10:41

Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) elchan2012 Mar 02, 11:28

The concept of a regression analysis is that there is an independent variable and a dependent variables. The OW is not dependent on the GMov Mar 02, 10:12

What about this KurtPilo Mar 02, 11:58

I thought it was using HSX stock price as the dependent variable. otherwise, you're right and a weighted average is more appropriate. {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 12:21

Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Budd Mar 02, 08:42





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.52 (-0.16)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.52 (-0.16)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.58 (+0.37)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.58 (+0.37)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 31.70 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 31.70 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 147.85 (+0.91)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 147.85 (+0.91)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 150000 36.57 (+0.10)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 10.70 (-0.11)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 10.70 (-0.11)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.27 (-0.09)          Will Arnett (WARNE) 25000 33.18 (-2.22)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 18.32 (+0.06)          GOAT (TGOAT) 20000 61.40 (-0.85)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 18.32 (+0.06)          Super Toys (SPTOY) 100 7.94 (-0.01)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.27 (-0.09)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 119.91 (-0.29)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 150000 10.57 (+0.77)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 150000 10.57 (+0.77)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 3.42 (-0.29)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 46.20 (-0.39)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 150000 3.42 (-0.29)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Roman Griffin Davis (RGDAV) 25000 36.60 (+0.01)          Border 2 (BORD2) 150000 2.91 (+0.25)          Border 2 (BORD2) 150000 2.91 (+0.25)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 10000 63.07 (-0.15)          The Riders (RIDER) 644 36.52 (+2.03)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 6.10 (-3.76)          Laura Dern (LDERN) 25000 72.97 (-0.36)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 60000 18.51 (+1.84)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 59.66 (+1.40)          Shiver (SHVER) 100 62.75 (-1.40)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 6.72 (-0.52)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          Sentimental Value - Picture (A6PSEN) 1 0.82 (-0.06)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Sentimental Value - Picture (A6PSEN) 25000 0.82 (-0.06)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 62.50 (+0.82)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 150000 10.57 (+0.77)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.51 (+1.84)          Will Ferrell (WFERR) 25000 106.54 (-0.57)