HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD...
That was the "mid-to-high teens" one that got me to make the post on how badly tracking underestimated Passion of the Christ (according to that Marich book). Sometimes these "tracking" announcements are atrocious, but can have a significant effect when posted around here, even if they aren't tagged.
So maybe you should have a Bonehead Prediction of the Week award, Variety winning for SOGOD this week. Make sure to use the prediction as the base, instead of the Sunday estimate that makes it sound better.
You could also have a Best Prediction award, though again the timing of predictions may be a factor. BOM looks best on SOGOD, but when was that one made for example?
3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) Mar 02, 07:33
Non-Stop - 30 mill Mar 02, 07:35
The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations Mar 02, 07:44
Son Of God - 26.5 mill Mar 02, 07:45
The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) Mar 02, 07:57
ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location Mar 02, 08:05
The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations Mar 02, 08:09
ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." Mar 02, 08:15
Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? Mar 02, 11:50
Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% Mar 02, 08:25
The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... Mar 02, 09:46
What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. Mar 02, 10:19
This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} Mar 02, 10:28
Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) Mar 02, 11:28
What about this Mar 02, 11:58
Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Mar 02, 08:42