HSX Forum

Movies

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 02, 08:05 in response to RazorHawk's post 3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume)

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status/440155049889521664

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:33

Non-Stop - 30 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:35

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:44

Son Of God - 26.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:45

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:57

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:05

The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:09

ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:15

Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? shortit Mar 02, 11:50

Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% elchan2012 Mar 02, 08:25

Do you think there's enough variation in the data points. Most the the predictors are engaging in group think or looking at the same trackin {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 09:01

Yes, there is sufficient variance. The mean standard deviation between the forecasters over 4 years is 2.84. (zero being no variance) {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 09:18

The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... KalElFan Mar 02, 09:46

The regression model will account for the boneheadedness. If they consistently low ball, or high ball, they are weighted lower. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:06

What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:19

This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:28

The Bonehead winner each week could be fun though. :-) Also, calling it a regression model doesn't make it much more than what it mainly... KalElFan Mar 02, 10:41

Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) elchan2012 Mar 02, 11:28

The concept of a regression analysis is that there is an independent variable and a dependent variables. The OW is not dependent on the GMov Mar 02, 10:12

What about this KurtPilo Mar 02, 11:58

I thought it was using HSX stock price as the dependent variable. otherwise, you're right and a weighted average is more appropriate. {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 12:21

Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Budd Mar 02, 08:42





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 100000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 8500 13.92 (-0.13)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 8500 13.92 (-0.13)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 10000 58.61 (+0.30)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 50000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 3788 50.00 (0.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 8500 13.92 (-0.13)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 44.66 (-0.67)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 150000 20.61 (0.00)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 44.66 (-0.67)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 8500 13.92 (-0.13)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 118.86 (-6.98)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 1 10.44 (+0.07)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 118.86 (-6.98)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.55 (-0.01)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.44 (+0.07)          Distant (DISTN) 1 11.55 (-0.01)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 130724 50.00 (0.00)          White Bird (WHBRD) 149999 14.35 (+1.88)          Companion (CMPAN) 10000 19.32 (+0.14)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 12.00 (-3.09)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 12.00 (-3.09)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 10000 169.19 (-0.57)          Distant (DISTN) 150000 11.55 (-0.01)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 5085 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Weapons (WEPNS) 10000 25.94 (+0.45)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 6.26 (-0.40)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 12.00 (-3.09)          Drop (DROP) 150000 23.53 (-0.13)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 12.00 (-3.09)          Rumours (RUMRS) 150000 6.71 (+0.01)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 150000 16.03 (-0.24)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 150000 16.03 (-0.24)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 150000 13.45 (+0.14)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 150000 13.45 (+0.14)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 15.94 (-0.21)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 7028 50.00 (0.00)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1605 35.95 (-0.05)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1605 35.95 (-0.05)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 14.35 (+1.88)          Hard Truths (HTRUT) 59000 5.83 (+0.05)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 31.47 (-0.46)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 14.35 (+1.88)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 31.47 (-0.46)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1605 35.95 (-0.05)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 130315 50.00 (0.00)