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Son Of God - 26.5 mill

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 02, 07:45 in response to RazorHawk's post 3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume)

https://twitter.com/BoxOffice/status/440150406979944448

3 Days To Kill - 4.9 mill (20.70 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:33

Non-Stop - 30 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:35

The Bag Man - $28,449 from 2 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:44

Son Of God - 26.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:45

The Wind Rises 1.6 mill (2.04 cume) RazorHawk Mar 02, 07:57

ERNEST & CELESTINE - $15,611 from 1 location RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:05

The Lunchbox - $51,325 from 3 locations RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:09

ERC: "Sony's STALINGRAD hit a wall, debuting exclusively in IMAX 3D with $500k in 308 theaters--$1,622 per." RazorHawk Mar 02, 08:15

Saw Stalingrad in Imax. Pretty good movie but why 3d and why imax? shortit Mar 02, 11:50

Difference between regression model and weekend estimates were, NONST: 19.67%, SOGOD: 15.36% elchan2012 Mar 02, 08:25

Do you think there's enough variation in the data points. Most the the predictors are engaging in group think or looking at the same trackin {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 09:01

Yes, there is sufficient variance. The mean standard deviation between the forecasters over 4 years is 2.84. (zero being no variance) {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 09:18

The SD could be largely due to groupthink and timing of predictions though. Also, Variety lowballed by about 55% with its $17M on SOGOD... KalElFan Mar 02, 09:46

The regression model will account for the boneheadedness. If they consistently low ball, or high ball, they are weighted lower. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:06

What the regression will do is find the relationship between the forecasters predictions and the weekend estimated BO. elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:19

This is a reponse to Gmov below ---> {nm} elchan2012 Mar 02, 10:28

The Bonehead winner each week could be fun though. :-) Also, calling it a regression model doesn't make it much more than what it mainly... KalElFan Mar 02, 10:41

Of the we reporting consistently for 4 years, here are the average error rates. (Box Office has been the most accurate) elchan2012 Mar 02, 11:28

The concept of a regression analysis is that there is an independent variable and a dependent variables. The OW is not dependent on the GMov Mar 02, 10:12

What about this KurtPilo Mar 02, 11:58

I thought it was using HSX stock price as the dependent variable. otherwise, you're right and a weighted average is more appropriate. {nm} Moviesnob Mar 02, 12:21

Frozen, 3.6m (-18%) and... 1 BILLION WW $1,000,236,000 ! {nm} Budd Mar 02, 08:42





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Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 2000 18.35 (+0.02)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 29.03 (+1.52)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 2000 10.58 (+0.02)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 2000 14.58 (+0.02)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 2000 20.51 (+0.04)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 2000 31.29 (+0.06)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 22.28 (+0.22)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 5100 117.69 (+1.03)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.99 (+0.99)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 2000 5.33 (-0.01)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 3000 4.70 (-0.01)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 2000 6.49 (-0.01)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 1000 18.56 (-0.02)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 1000 12.17 (-0.02)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 71.77 (0.00)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 1000 11.26 (-0.02)          Please (PLESE) 150000 22.13 (+0.31)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 1000 21.34 (-0.02)          Please (PLESE) 150000 22.13 (+0.31)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 2000 6.47 (-0.02)          Oasis Live '25 (OASIS) 1000 15.15 (-0.02)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 1000 16.48 (-0.02)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 1000 13.63 (-0.02)          Above The Below (ABELW) 1000 7.21 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 1000 11.70 (-0.02)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 1000 10.53 (-0.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 2000 9.26 (-0.02)          Empire City (EMPCT) 1000 14.26 (-0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 410.16 (+0.87)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 2000 8.71 (-0.02)          One of Them Days 2 (1OTD2) 1000 14.49 (-0.02)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.48 (+0.48)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 2000 8.73 (-0.03)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1000 30.71 (-0.03)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.40 (+0.40)          Possession (PSESN) 1000 29.83 (-0.03)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 30.40 (+0.06)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 1000 12.03 (-0.04)          Bratz (BRAT2) 1000 12.76 (-0.04)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 1000 11.65 (-0.04)          Airman (AIRMA) 1000 18.31 (-0.04)          Ally (ALLY) 1000 19.49 (-0.05)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 1000 22.26 (-0.07)          White Elephant (WELEP) 40000 14.25 (+0.04)