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Playing & Trading Strategy

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean

Posted by: MattW on May 27, 14:50 in response to MattW's post April coming in right at 550, 67%

Over 130m from holdovers, over 625 from May releases.Ā 

June holdovers 200-250m, new releases 575-675, around 70-75% of the average

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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The Crow (TCROW) 10000 23.40 (-0.01)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 149999 3.51 (+0.01)          The Monk and the Gun (TMATG) 150000 0.43 (+0.04)          Six Triple Eight (6TRP8) 150000 0.33 (+0.02)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 10000 23.55 (-0.03)          The Animal Kingdom (TANMK) 150000 0.19 (0.00)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 5000 51.42 (-0.19)          Wildcat (WLDCT) 150000 1.22 (-0.05)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 1 43.10 (-0.56)          They Shot the Piano Player (TSTPP) 150000 0.36 (+0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 20000 169.69 (+0.04)          Club Zero (CLUBZ) 150000 0.12 (+0.02)          Spaceman (SPACM) 150000 0.10 (+0.02)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 30000 29.56 (-0.03)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 10000 173.15 (+0.02)          Bleeding Love (YSLIS) 150000 0.05 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 1 2.11 (-0.10)          Popular Theory (POPTH) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 481 28.81 (+2.89)          Lil Rel Howery (LRHOW) 5000 45.29 (-0.03)          Red One (REDON) 75000 80.81 (-0.19)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.10 (-0.56)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 10000 169.28 (+0.02)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 149999 2.82 (+0.01)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.27 (-0.11)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 12500 136.18 (+0.02)          Exhibiting Forgiveness (XHBTF) 149999 2.57 (0.00)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 5000 75.90 (+0.05)          Madden (MADEN) 20000 28.81 (+2.89)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.10 (-0.56)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 149999 6.06 (+0.02)          Red One (REDON) 10000 80.81 (-0.19)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 100 9.25 (-0.02)          Batgirl (BATGR) 500 3.86 (+0.01)          Bambi (BAMBI) 3 35.97 (+0.03)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 29000 347.23 (-0.39)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 1 6.82 (0.00)          The Authority (AUTHO) 124 46.96 (-0.05)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 5 53.39 (+0.25)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 3 223.88 (-0.16)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 28.81 (+2.89)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 75000 23.70 (+0.03)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 10000 156.20 (-1.02)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 30 334.18 (+0.12)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 3 23.77 (+0.01)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 3 38.89 (+0.10)          Good Fortune (GDFRT) 1 30.07 (-0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.75 (+0.06)          The Aliens Are Stealing Our Weed (AASOW) 40 0.57 (+0.02)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 10000 170.36 (+0.13)