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Playing & Trading Strategy

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range.

Posted by: MattW on Oct 24, 22:54 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

Oct about 64% of the previous avg, November over 70%, a nice tick up from August and September's low 50 percentages.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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The Partner (PRTNR) 15000 46.91 (+0.04)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 60000 14.12 (-0.64)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.64 (+1.13)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 1.78 (+0.04)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.97 (-0.01)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.12 (-0.64)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 10 137.95 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 103.22 (+0.44)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 20.06 (-0.05)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.80 (-0.43)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.80 (-0.43)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.79 (-0.45)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.79 (-0.45)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 50 15.45 (0.00)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 100 80.56 (0.00)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 100 22.09 (0.00)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 100 59.27 (0.00)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 100 36.62 (0.00)          Eli Roth (EROTH) 25000 30.98 (-0.12)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 100 108.08 (0.00)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 100 22.20 (0.00)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 12073 5.75 (+0.64)          Eli Roth (EROTH) 100 30.98 (-0.12)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 100 14.50 (0.00)          Elizabeth Debicki (EDEBI) 10 72.27 (-0.25)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 163.01 (+1.88)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 149995 82.29 (+0.26)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 163.01 (+1.88)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.50 (-0.23)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 11.14 (+0.97)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 107.85 (+0.66)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 100 57.78 (0.00)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.75 (+0.64)          Destin Daniel Cretton (DDCRE) 50 105.22 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.72 (+0.77)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 11.14 (+0.97)          Chase Sui Wonders (CSWON) 90 15.41 (0.00)          Christian Slater (CSLAT) 10 10.46 (-0.10)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 2142 331.97 (+0.01)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 100 51.17 (-0.33)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 100 57.52 (+0.33)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.53 (-0.33)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 149999 5.75 (+0.64)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 149999 5.75 (+0.64)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 149999 5.46 (-0.08)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 149999 5.46 (-0.08)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 999 9.55 (-0.01)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.02 (+0.02)          Company (COMPN) 150000 7.78 (-0.22)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 19.66 (-0.08)