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Playing & Trading Strategy

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Mar 30, 09:59 in response to MattW's post 2024 predictions month by month

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Ice Cream Man - Opening Weekend (ICREM.OW) 50000 4.40 (-0.09)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 200 6.18 (0.00)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.75 (+0.10)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 100 20.11 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 100 85.74 (-0.50)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 100 64.70 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 100 53.10 (+0.10)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 100 0.08 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 100 58.51 (0.00)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 100 106.98 (-0.11)          Company (COMPN) 150000 7.81 (-0.19)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 0.04 (-0.01)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.88 (-0.35)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 149999 20.26 (+0.28)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.26 (+0.28)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149999 5.07 (+0.25)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 5.07 (+0.25)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.52 (-0.21)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.52 (-0.21)          One Night Only (ONTON) 149999 23.09 (+0.48)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.09 (+0.48)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 149999 11.14 (+0.48)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 11.14 (+0.48)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.50 (-0.36)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 149999 5.56 (+0.45)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.56 (+0.45)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.50 (-0.36)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 149999 11.67 (+0.72)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.67 (+0.72)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 23.48 (+0.86)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.88 (-0.35)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.48 (+0.86)          NDA (NDA) 150000 7.88 (-0.35)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 11.13 (+0.96)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 11.13 (+0.96)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149999 13.58 (+1.07)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.58 (+1.07)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.87 (-0.37)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.87 (-0.37)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 149999 14.60 (+1.09)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.60 (+1.09)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 19.77 (+0.29)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 19.77 (+0.29)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 82.53 (+0.50)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.56 (+0.45)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.56 (+0.45)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 11.13 (+0.96)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 11.13 (+0.96)          Company (COMPN) 150000 7.81 (-0.19)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.04 (+0.04)