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I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average.

Posted by: MattW on Jul 28, 14:01 in response to MattW's post June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average.

August to me looks like 200-225 from holdovers, and 200-250 from new releases based on current hsx prices, but with a weak month and such a strong july holdovers might do better than expected, maybe up to $500m for the month as a whole which would be under 60%.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26





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We Live in Time (WLITM) 50000 9.71 (-0.05)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 22.68 (+1.56)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 40.01 (-0.16)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 147700 64.19 (+3.20)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 25000 6.38 (-0.03)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 150000 2.30 (-0.17)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 96056 114.29 (-2.23)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 30000 18.20 (-0.03)          The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 20000 97.99 (-0.01)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Spaceman (SPACM) 150000 0.20 (-0.02)          Accidental Texan (ACTEX) 150000 1.52 (0.00)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 50000 86.95 (-0.14)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 150000 2.30 (-0.17)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 5 2.83 (-0.34)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 150000 41.93 (-0.20)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.50 (-0.50)          Peaches (PEACH) 1 3.63 (+0.12)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 224.34 (+0.70)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Gro (SWAR3) 5 208.82 (-0.29)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 100000 11.93 (+0.47)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 50000 64.19 (+3.20)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 150.90 (+1.84)          Civil War - Opening Weekend (CVLWR.OW) 100000 20.64 (+0.64)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.19 (+3.20)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.19 (+3.20)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 469 76.01 (-0.08)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 45000 44.42 (+1.77)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 114383 20.00 (0.00)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 5000 23.64 (-0.08)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 5000 114.29 (-2.23)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 25000 33.07 (-1.37)          Selena Gomez (SGOME) 25000 99.16 (-0.50)          Marcia Gay Harden (MGHAR) 25000 43.53 (-0.66)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 109.43 (-0.46)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 125.46 (-0.93)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 4990 23.64 (-0.08)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 150000 6.28 (-0.06)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 25.90 (-0.25)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 13.76 (+0.02)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 9.31 (+0.41)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 13.76 (+0.02)          Pryor (PRYOR) 150000 0.07 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 150.90 (+1.84)