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Playing & Trading Strategy

December here we come {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Nov 26, 15:34 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.45 (-0.41)          Digger (DIGER) 7500 113.27 (+0.01)          Company (COMPN) 150000 7.80 (-0.20)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 5000 66.18 (0.00)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.53 (-0.20)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 11850 23.53 (+0.91)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 12500 56.41 (+0.01)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 149999 169.89 (+0.33)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.02 (+0.02)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 24999 126.94 (+0.66)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 12346 5.83 (+0.72)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 24999 147.82 (+0.33)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 265.18 (+0.81)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 12 7.14 (-0.01)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 8.33 (+0.05)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.PU) 25000 2.91 (+0.02)          Jacob Elordi (JELOR) 13000 20.52 (-0.06)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 1000 56.61 (+0.50)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 121123 82.78 (+0.75)          Miles & Juliette (MILJU) 10000 2.80 (0.00)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 1000 41.27 (+0.36)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 100 64.60 (-0.10)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 61000 641.72 (+2.72)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 13000 6.95 (+0.08)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 1000 41.91 (+0.17)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 150000 0.60 (+0.02)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.02 (+0.02)          The Partner (PRTNR) 6000 46.91 (+0.04)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 12500 140.58 (-0.07)          Astaire (ASTAI) 1000 16.60 (0.00)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 25000 46.65 (+0.63)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 1000 38.74 (-0.16)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 1.02 (+0.02)          Atonement (ATONM) 10000 1.76 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 2000 23.53 (+0.91)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 641.72 (+2.72)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 100 50.58 (+0.38)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 1.86 (+0.12)          NDA (NDA) 38669 7.65 (-0.58)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 42685 6.55 (-0.69)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 11.19 (+1.02)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.53 (-0.20)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 77.33 (+0.13)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 13934 641.72 (+2.72)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 100000 14.68 (+1.17)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 50000 2.53 (-0.20)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.00 (+1.49)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 5000 19.56 (-0.18)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 1500 27.60 (-0.03)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 18000 432.15 (+3.08)