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Playing & Trading Strategy

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Sep 06, 20:14 in response to MattW's post August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new...

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 53.41 (+0.33)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 6.93 (+0.26)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 53.41 (+0.33)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 126.73 (-1.17)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.36 (+1.24)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.52 (+0.62)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 5.27 (+0.48)          Buddy (BUDDY) 149999 5.48 (+0.03)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.42 (+0.29)          Control (COTRL) 150000 5.99 (+0.47)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 19.94 (+0.14)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.81 (-0.44)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.81 (-0.44)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.47 (-0.92)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 126.73 (-1.17)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.47 (-0.92)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.94 (+0.47)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.36 (+1.24)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.36 (+1.24)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 149999 4.94 (+0.47)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 75000 5.02 (+0.87)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.66 (+1.04)          Jane (JANE1) 75000 12.66 (+1.04)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 75000 16.86 (+1.39)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 16.86 (+1.39)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 16.86 (+1.39)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 1.33 (-0.02)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 149999 17.36 (+1.24)          Free Agents (FREAG) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 149999 5.27 (+0.48)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Affection (AFECT) 150000 0.13 (-0.01)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 125.82 (-0.33)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 75000 7.61 (-0.25)          Please (PLESE) 74999 19.55 (-0.80)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 10.94 (+0.14)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 164.17 (-0.33)          Control (COTRL) 149999 5.99 (+0.47)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.66 (+1.04)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.94 (+0.47)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.94 (+0.47)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 75000 12.81 (-0.44)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 66.86 (+0.05)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 75000 3.76 (-0.03)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 149999 12.84 (-0.07)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 9.47 (-0.92)          Runner (RUNNR) 149999 15.49 (+0.77)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 149999 7.26 (-0.04)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 126.73 (-1.17)