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Playing & Trading Strategy

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Sep 07, 14:59 in response to MattW's post August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26





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Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 12499 80.33 (-1.39)          Final Destination 6: Bloodlines (FDES6) 150000 17.28 (+0.25)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 10000 64.24 (+3.25)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 2000 17.19 (-0.04)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 1000 17.19 (-0.04)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 2000 6.61 (-0.01)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 10000 6.61 (-0.01)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.62 (+0.01)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 150000 29.27 (-0.13)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 150000 30.88 (-0.13)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 150000 243.21 (-0.64)          Y2K (Y2K) 100000 6.38 (-0.02)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 9.44 (+0.54)          Hercules (HRCUL) 15400 30.63 (+0.03)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 24600 23.41 (-0.04)          Monkey Man H10 Call (MNKYM.CA) 25000 3.25 (+0.23)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 16295 114.08 (-2.44)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 2.32 (-0.03)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 50000 2.32 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1000 180.08 (-0.66)          Snack Shack (SNACK) 150000 0.75 (-0.02)          Canary Black (CNARY) 150000 7.52 (-0.07)          Canary Black (CNARY) 50000 7.52 (-0.07)          Monkey Man - Opening Weekend (MNKYM.OW) 100000 12.69 (+0.13)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 150000 9.63 (-0.13)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 50000 9.63 (-0.13)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50900 6.51 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50000 6.51 (0.00)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 150000 2.82 (-0.01)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 15.09 (-0.14)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 15.09 (-0.14)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 40800 14.29 (-0.07)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 50000 14.29 (-0.07)          Civil War H$20 Call (CVLWR.CA) 25000 2.60 (+0.60)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 25000 180.08 (-0.66)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 180.08 (-0.66)          Civil War - Opening Weekend (CVLWR.OW) 100000 21.24 (+1.24)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 1 73.90 (-0.73)          Housekeeping for Beginners (HKFBG) 49999 0.76 (-0.08)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 5000 131.67 (+0.76)          NBC: Extended Family (EXTFAM) 25000 13.30 (-0.21)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 75000 114.08 (-2.44)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 73.90 (-0.73)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 1000 23.64 (-0.04)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 13.35 (-0.01)