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Playing & Trading Strategy

2024 predictions month by month

Posted by: MattW on Mar 25, 16:26 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

March ends up with 715m

April about 500-550m
March holdovers: 250-300m
April 5 releases: 60m
April 12 releases: 80m
April 19 releases: 100m
April 26 releases: 20m

May I'll take a stab and say 650-700

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17

May 575? MattW May 23, 17:55

May ended up 550. June 700. MattW Jun 05, 16:46

June 780 MattW Jun 11, 14:20

Or 880 with IO2 blowing up... {nm} MattW Jun 14, 20:15

950-975? Could very well match 2022 at this point. Very surprising {nm} MattW Jun 22, 08:54





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Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 9.48 (+0.17)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2983 88.29 (-0.81)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3000 232.41 (+1.72)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 51.05 (+5.30)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1000 51.05 (+5.30)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 34.08 (+1.00)          Hoppers $140M Blockbuster Warran (HOPPR.BW) 25000 10.70 (+0.38)          Havana Rose Liu (HRLIU) 25000 6.89 (+0.35)          Cailee Spaeny (CSPAE) 25000 43.23 (+1.50)          Richard E. Grant (RGRAN) 25000 9.48 (-0.70)          Jonathan Pryce (JPRYC) 25000 8.42 (+1.03)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 26.16 (+0.04)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 25.02 (+0.20)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 25000 21.39 (+1.06)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 149999 3.17 (+0.02)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 149999 12.88 (+0.91)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 42.48 (+0.04)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 12.88 (+0.91)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 149999 34.95 (+3.07)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 149999 34.95 (+3.07)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 9.14 (+0.48)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 149999 0.61 (+0.45)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.61 (+0.45)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 149999 1.56 (+0.37)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.56 (+0.37)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 149999 26.69 (-0.03)          Union County (UNINC) 149999 1.60 (+0.29)          Union County (UNINC) 150000 1.60 (+0.29)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.61 (+0.45)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.61 (+0.45)          Savage House (SVGHS) 149999 0.36 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 1 52.77 (-0.05)          Savage House (SVGHS) 150000 0.36 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 1 90.37 (-0.26)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 1 17.35 (-0.19)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 1 7.75 (-0.09)          Magic Hour (MGCHR) 150000 0.41 (+0.03)          Trashers (TRSHR) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 28000 5.78 (-0.35)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 28000 5.78 (-0.35)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 100 288.93 (+0.27)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 17.29 (+0.02)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 7000 70.47 (-1.48)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 1220 78.47 (-0.11)          River (RIVE1) 150000 1.85 (-0.19)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 550 165.39 (+0.30)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.25 (+0.99)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 2000 239.56 (+0.24)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 50000 51.65 (+1.09)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 80000 125.19 (+1.07)