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Playing & Trading Strategy

2024 predictions month by month

Posted by: MattW on Mar 25, 16:26 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

March ends up with 715m

April about 500-550m
March holdovers: 250-300m
April 5 releases: 60m
April 12 releases: 80m
April 19 releases: 100m
April 26 releases: 20m

May I'll take a stab and say 650-700

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.19 (-0.04)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.19 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 42.30 (-0.26)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 42.30 (-0.26)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.99 (+0.04)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.PU) 25000 2.99 (+0.04)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 47.43 (-0.20)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 47.43 (-0.20)          Alan Kim (AKIM) 9011 33.74 (+0.04)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.03)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.25 (+0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 134.33 (-0.53)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 134.33 (-0.53)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.81 (-0.67)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.81 (-0.67)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.84 (-0.16)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 3 69.93 (-0.13)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 24 108.00 (-0.11)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 34627 134.33 (-0.53)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 1858 1.19 (0.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 25000 134.33 (-0.53)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 5.76 (+0.07)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 5.76 (+0.07)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 25000 69.93 (-0.13)          Trap House (TRAPH) 25000 22.79 (+0.33)          Trap House (TRAPH) 25000 22.79 (+0.33)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.41 (-0.02)          Eleanor the Great (ELANO) 100000 8.62 (+0.03)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.87 (-0.21)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 1.19 (0.00)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.68 (+0.09)          Clue (CLUE) 100000 17.82 (+0.41)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.57 (-0.37)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.84 (-0.16)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 10000 8.63 (+0.07)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 10000 8.63 (+0.07)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 25000 18.74 (-0.07)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.74 (-0.07)          Madden (MADEN) 323 30.79 (+0.16)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.87 (-0.21)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.87 (-0.21)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 1437 6.89 (-0.01)          East Bay (EASTB) 50002 0.97 (-0.03)