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Curious--do you all have a sense for what % of bond movement happens in the week before they adjust?

Posted by: MovesLikeWater on Nov 02, 18:17 in response to DTravel's post I second Abraxas' comments re Starbonds. I currently...

Even anecdotally, do you all have a sense for what percentage of a bond's price movement happens in the week leading up to Tuesday afternoon adjustments? Like, if a bond is at $20 now and we think it'll adjust to $40 three months from now, how much of that price movement happens in the first eleven weeks versus in the seven days between when it shows up on the market calendar and when it adjusts? I've only looked at a handful of past bonds, but it looks like almost all the movement happens right before adjustment (and of course at adjustment). If that's true more broadly, then does it really make sense to hold bonds that aren't about to adjust in the next 7-ish days?

Advise please for my $2.2B portfolio mdavis Oct 08, 01:28

I'm sorry to absolutely LOL this but... Noah66 Oct 08, 06:47

Dum Da Dum Da Dum DUMMY Da Dum Da Dum. 92% to 96% of ALL M/S Trend Downward. SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT SHORT. {nm} Department of Mathematics Oct 08, 11:31

A life without interpersonal skills or relationships must be bleak. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 08, 12:18

Pot, meet kettle... {nm} ndmaster Oct 10, 20:31

Say hello to everyone at Omega House for us. Especially the little sisters. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 11, 10:38

Don't be so smug, you guys... {nm} virtualLassy Oct 12, 13:24

the serious responses are common responses to questions like this, I mean this is asked A LOT ndmaster Oct 13, 20:24

But seriously, as everyone is saying, you just need to get more speculative on buying/shorting movies and actors. Abraxas Oct 12, 17:49

I second Abraxas' comments re Starbonds. I currently have positions on 861 Starbonds. DTravel Oct 12, 20:46

And they're mostly Shorts, even on Starbonds? {nm} virtualLassy Oct 17, 02:56

Pretty much evenly split between Long and Short. DTravel Oct 17, 18:17

Curious--do you all have a sense for what % of bond movement happens in the week before they adjust? MovesLikeWater Nov 02, 18:17

It makes sense when you have more money than things you can invest in. Before that, as you note, it's all about "daily ROI". Abraxas Nov 02, 19:21

Thank you! {nm} MovesLikeWater Nov 02, 20:46

The question is how much time do you want invest; do you check in every day? are you ok with doing math offline sneak Oct 23, 18:13

Thanks sneak, for taking time to explain! virtualLassy Oct 31, 13:03





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