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Movies

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

For 2, I don't have hard statistics, but it feels to be about 70%+ overall.

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Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.70 (+0.10)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 1.97 (-0.07)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 162 73.47 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 45169 30.61 (+0.53)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 52500 125.47 (-0.56)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.50 (+1.34)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 59.56 (-0.11)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.70 (+0.10)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 14.16 (-0.12)          Obey (OBEY) 38183 21.40 (0.00)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.27 (+0.68)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 1.97 (-0.07)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.32 (+0.07)          Brad Bird (BBIRD) 25000 168.86 (-0.50)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 149999 15.17 (-0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 169.42 (-0.55)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.61 (+0.53)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.56 (+0.91)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 25.88 (-0.23)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.61 (+0.53)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 278.63 (+0.26)          Last Friday (FRID4) 53864 13.74 (-1.24)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.27 (+0.68)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 10.06 (+0.40)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149999 25.88 (-0.23)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 1000 59.74 (-0.14)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.56 (+0.91)          Turpentine (TURPN) 33951 6.62 (-0.64)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 90000 17.19 (+0.03)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 149999 6.72 (-0.17)          The Young People (TYPEP) 10000 10.74 (+0.05)          Hal (HALD) 150000 4.86 (+0.05)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 1 5.05 (-0.08)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 2175 278.63 (+0.26)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 1 5.05 (-0.08)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 1 34.62 (-0.50)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 1 34.62 (-0.50)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 3.73 (-0.01)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 4000 55.66 (0.00)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 5.14 (+0.03)          Wicker (WCKER) 1 18.87 (-0.12)          Donkey (DONKE) 3000 159.36 (+0.29)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 50000 3.61 (+0.01)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 10000 3.61 (+0.01)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 3000 161.83 (0.00)          Perfect Girl (PRFCG) 50000 3.39 (+0.01)          Perfect Girl (PRFCG) 10000 3.39 (+0.01)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 3000 120.17 (-0.10)          The Young People (TYPEP) 40000 10.74 (+0.05)          The Young People (TYPEP) 40000 10.74 (+0.05)