HSX Forums: Movies Board






25% is the answer for question 1. :-)

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

For 2, I don't have hard statistics, but it feels to be about 70%+ overall.

Ā 

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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Poms H$15 Put (POMS.PU) 20000 2.36 (+0.36)         Men in Black: International (MIB4) 500 148.10 (+2.22)         Playing with Fire (PLWFR) 5000 26.82 (+0.06)         Avengers: Endgame (AVNG4) 23072 635.53 (+2.29)         Lee Pace (LPACE) 20000 187.84 (-1.14)         Clemency (CLMNC) 99998 4.25 (+0.10)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Put (AVNG4.PU) 11468 0.55 (0.00)         Lee Pace (LPACE) 20000 187.84 (-1.14)         The Boss Baby 2 (BOSS2) 5000 107.82 (-0.01)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Put (AVNG4.PU) 11468 0.55 (0.00)         The Hustle H$15 Put (NSTYW.PU) 20000 2.31 (+0.31)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 11465 15.17 (-0.03)         The Hustle H$15 Call (NSTYW.CA) 20000 1.80 (-0.20)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 60000 249.35 (+0.22)         Clemency (CLMNC) 99000 4.25 (+0.10)         The Hustle - Opening Weekend (NSTYW.OW) 100000 14.37 (-0.63)         Clemency (CLMNC) 50000 4.25 (+0.10)         Clemency (CLMNC) 50000 4.25 (+0.10)         Clemency (CLMNC) 50000 4.25 (+0.10)         Clemency (CLMNC) 50000 4.25 (+0.10)         Driven (DRVEN) 10 2.01 (+0.35)         Hotel Transylvania 4 (HTRN4) 901 72.53 (+1.81)         Poms H$15 Put (POMS.PU) 20000 2.36 (+0.36)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Put (AVNG4.PU) 8532 0.55 (0.00)         Poms H$15 Call (POMS.CA) 20000 1.65 (-0.35)         Poms (POMS) 100000 32.49 (+0.10)         Avengers: Endgame - Opening Week (AVNG4.OW) 34260 292.48 (-0.33)         Ed Helms (EHELM) 20000 20.97 (0.00)         Keanu Reeves (KREEV) 20000 25.46 (-0.16)         Demi Moore (DMOOR) 20000 2.78 (+0.16)         Sword of Trust (SWOTR) 100000 2.12 (+0.60)         Captain Marvel $350M Blockbuster (CMARV.BW) 20000 13.56 (-0.11)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Call (AVNG4.CA) 20000 9.37 (+1.13)         The Craft (CRAFT) 5 22.81 (-1.49)         Vivarium (VIVAR) 40000 4.00 (0.00)         Sylvie (SYLVE) 100000 3.41 (-0.59)         Infinite (INFIN) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Naomie Harris (NHARR) 20000 55.20 (-0.26)         Jojo Rabbit (JOJOR) 100000 16.91 (-0.12)         Jillian Bell (JIBEL) 20000 53.43 (-0.54)         Naomie Harris (NHARR) 20000 55.20 (-0.26)         The Craft (CRAFT) 100000 22.81 (-1.49)         The Hustle H$15 Call (NSTYW.CA) 10000 1.80 (-0.20)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 11000 34.41 (+5.55)         Brian Banks (BBANK) 100000 17.46 (-1.78)         The Hustle H$15 Call (NSTYW.CA) 10000 1.80 (-0.20)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 100000 41.87 (-0.44)         Lea Seydoux (LSEYD) 20000 55.32 (+0.93)         Shazam! (SHAZM) 100000 129.78 (-1.08)         James Bond 25 (JB25) 100000 156.14 (+3.80)