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25% is the answer for question 1. :-)

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

For 2, I don't have hard statistics, but it feels to be about 70%+ overall.

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Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 474.51 (-0.23)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 118.78 (-1.55)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 281.15 (+0.45)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 5000 165.50 (-0.76)          Michael (MJACK) 10000 163.04 (-0.12)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Alan Tudyk (ATUDY) 25000 139.58 (+1.06)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 5000 218.18 (-1.15)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 39250 441.97 (-2.88)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 10000 261.31 (+0.78)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 294.13 (+1.22)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 441.97 (-2.88)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.19 (-0.81)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.48 (-0.52)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 100000 441.97 (-2.88)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 474.51 (-0.23)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 11.22 (-2.02)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 11.22 (-2.02)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10000 193.82 (-0.14)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10000 140.78 (-0.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 30000 158.68 (+0.40)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 10000 76.68 (-0.07)          In the Grey (NGREY) 25000 14.85 (-0.01)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 35000 53.45 (+0.36)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.67 (+0.63)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Ashley Park (ASPAR) 25000 28.57 (-0.37)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 21000 0.88 (0.00)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 66.71 (+1.07)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 13.56 (+0.26)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          She Dances (SDANC) 21000 1.67 (+0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 102.22 (+2.02)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 15.17 (-0.12)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 21000 4.52 (-0.04)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 1 13.99 (-0.04)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 11.22 (-2.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 31593 441.97 (-2.88)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 2.91 (-0.02)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 27826 273.35 (+0.95)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 27826 273.35 (+0.95)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 5000 30.08 (-0.23)