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Movies

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

For 2, I don't have hard statistics, but it feels to be about 70%+ overall.

 

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 5.98 (+1.33)          Zorro 2.0 (ZOROR) 150000 0.04 (-0.02)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 0.15 (-0.01)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 25000 56.22 (+5.15)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 6000 13.71 (-0.83)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 1.25 (0.00)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 1000 26.94 (-0.37)          Forge (FORGE) 150000 0.64 (+0.03)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149999 3.82 (+0.02)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 2.80 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 51.44 (+0.25)          For Worse (FWORS) 150000 0.30 (+0.02)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 13.14 (+0.02)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 5.56 (-1.03)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 150000 1.25 (-0.01)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 107.22 (+0.33)          Here Comes the Flood (HCTFL) 150000 0.29 (0.00)          Heads or Tails (HDOTL) 150000 0.39 (+0.02)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 150000 5.64 (+0.02)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Idiotka (IDOTK) 150000 0.30 (+0.03)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 1.57 (+0.01)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 5.56 (-1.03)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 150000 16.98 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 7.47 (+1.64)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 6.98 (+0.04)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 7.47 (+1.64)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 5.56 (-1.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 40.32 (+4.05)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 67.69 (+0.27)          By Any Means (CI34) 149999 21.85 (+0.41)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.48 (0.00)          By Any Means (CI34) 149999 21.85 (+0.41)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 4.99 (+0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 446.90 (-9.17)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 81.28 (+0.88)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 12.63 (-0.08)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 446.90 (-9.17)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 150000 16.98 (-0.02)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 6.98 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 1.48 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 56.22 (+5.15)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 4.99 (+0.03)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 11 67.69 (+0.27)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 94231 81.28 (+0.88)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 12.63 (-0.08)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)