HSX Forums: Movies Board






25% is the answer for question 1. :-)

Posted by: xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

For 2, I don't have hard statistics, but it feels to be about 70%+ overall.

 

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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A Beautiful Day in the Neighborh (YAMFR) 100000 72.72 (+1.68)         Fantastic Four (FANF2) 50000 31.59 (-0.25)         Patricia Arquette (PARQU) 20000 49.03 (-0.40)         Zhang Yimou (ZYIMO) 20000 9.30 (+0.28)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 36.94 (+3.10)         Jack Dylan Grazer (JDGRA) 20000 160.00 (0.00)         Joan Cusack (JOANC) 20000 56.30 (-0.39)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (MFMLY) 100000 122.92 (+3.05)         Lily James (LJAME) 20000 68.48 (+5.73)         Craig Robinson (CROBI) 1 30.25 (-0.01)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (MFMLY) 100000 122.92 (+3.05)         Zendaya (ZENDA) 20000 174.82 (+0.57)         Barbie (BARBI) 99999 24.32 (-1.72)         Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 20000 39.45 (+2.28)         Tony Revolori (TREVO) 20000 73.73 (+0.94)         Fear Street 3 (FEAR3) 100000 19.81 (-0.28)         Toy Story 4 $350M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS4.BW) 20000 15.94 (+0.52)         Lily James (LJAME) 20000 68.48 (+5.73)         George Lopez (GLOPE) 19990 43.19 (0.00)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 100000 30.10 (+0.30)         John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellu (WICK3.BW) 20000 16.01 (+0.26)         Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 20000 0.61 (-2.78)         Clemency (CLMNC) 100000 1.88 (+0.07)         Danny Boyle (DBOYL) 20000 19.66 (-0.03)         Merlin (MERLN) 100000 27.70 (-0.33)         Little Things (LTHNG) 100000 34.01 (+2.91)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 $130M (PETS2.BW) 20000 13.02 (+0.13)         Danny Boyle (DBOYL) 20000 19.66 (-0.03)         Shazam 2 (SHAZ2) 12500 102.19 (+3.40)         Neal McDonough (NMCDO) 1 28.50 (+0.16)         24/7 (247) 99999 9.81 (+0.76)         Harriet (HARET) 100000 5.37 (+2.49)         Jack Dylan Grazer (JDGRA) 2500 160.00 (0.00)         The Trip to Greece (TRIP4) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Lucy in the Sky (PBDOT) 100000 8.77 (0.00)         Suki Waterhouse (SUWAT) 20000 40.23 (-0.66)         Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 146.56 (+1.14)         Sword of Trust (SWOTR) 100000 0.99 (+0.04)         The Song of Names (SONGN) 100000 0.93 (+0.04)         Jojo Rabbit (JOJOR) 100000 14.43 (+1.31)         Chace Crawford (CCRAW) 20000 3.32 (-0.04)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 36.94 (+3.10)         Little Things (LTHNG) 99999 34.01 (+2.91)         Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 20000 73.13 (-0.63)         Midsommar (MIDSM) 99981 23.09 (+0.05)         Zhang Yimou (ZYIMO) 20000 9.30 (+0.28)         Little White Corvette (LWVET) 100000 0.44 (+0.03)         Lily James (LJAME) 20000 68.48 (+5.73)         H-Block (HBLOC) 98900 1.82 (-0.01)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 36.94 (+3.10)