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Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30 in response to BionicMoron's post If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Val (A6CRRE) 25000 2.13 (-0.04)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 50 119.09 (+0.22)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 30026 18.00 (0.00)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 10.50 (+0.12)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.08 (+1.08)          Untitled K-Pop Movie (KPOPM) 10000 34.29 (-0.14)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 181.03 (-0.78)          Michael (MJACK) 780 168.84 (+4.17)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 10000 49.11 (-0.48)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 10000 40.01 (+0.06)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 63.17 (+0.16)          Phantom Son (PHSON) 75000 9.45 (-0.17)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 73.44 (-0.19)          Dracula (DRALT) 50000 4.00 (+0.21)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 25000 165.67 (+0.50)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 105.40 (+1.72)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 150000 40.67 (+0.61)          John Lithgow (JLITH) 25000 31.02 (-0.25)          Reenactment (RNACT) 75000 6.72 (+0.07)          John Lithgow (JLITH) 25000 31.02 (-0.25)          The Riders (RIDER) 150000 34.15 (+0.88)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 11.85 (-1.48)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 25000 51.03 (+0.33)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 64.21 (+6.81)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 2.52 (-0.01)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 3 81.54 (+0.92)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100000 18.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 93251 18.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 15864 168.84 (+4.17)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.08 (+1.08)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.54 (+1.54)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 17885 18.00 (0.00)          Send Help (SENDH) 40000 46.35 (+2.08)          Shelter (SELTR) 25000 13.34 (+0.54)          Kyle Chandler (KCHAN) 999 62.65 (+0.25)          Kyle Chandler (KCHAN) 1999 62.65 (+0.25)          Fernando Meirelles (FMEIR) 19994 9.20 (-0.05)          Fernando Meirelles (FMEIR) 19994 9.20 (-0.05)          Fernando Meirelles (FMEIR) 1999 9.20 (-0.05)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 25000 86.12 (+0.25)          Broadsword (BROSW) 15000 55.80 (+0.11)          Broadsword (BROSW) 11999 55.80 (+0.11)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 120.10 (+1.00)          Tuner (TUNER) 79999 6.07 (+0.21)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 6.07 (+0.21)          Shiver (SHVER) 25000 64.21 (+6.81)          Grendel (GREND) 6 14.53 (+0.37)          Grendel (GREND) 30000 14.53 (+0.37)