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Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30 in response to BionicMoron's post If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Logan's Run (LOGAN) 50000 4.54 (-0.13)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 8.50 (+1.88)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't (NYSM3) 150000 55.51 (-0.31)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 5000 17.91 (-0.08)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 63.60 (-0.17)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 360.24 (-1.68)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 12.76 (-0.27)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 12.76 (-0.27)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 25000 12.49 (+1.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 460.44 (-1.52)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 149999 16.89 (-1.86)          Megadoc (MEGAD) 150000 0.56 (-0.10)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.89 (-1.86)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.89 (-1.86)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 0.59 (-0.08)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 1000 2.87 (+0.87)          Megadoc (MEGAD) 150000 0.56 (-0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.74 (-3.60)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 0.59 (-0.08)          Tangled (TANGL) 114755 87.56 (+1.44)          Megadoc (MEGAD) 150000 0.56 (-0.10)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 0.59 (-0.08)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 68.95 (+0.15)          I, Object (IOBJC) 150000 1.77 (-0.02)          Airman (AIRMA) 30000 25.34 (-0.06)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 25000 11.60 (-0.05)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 45000 11.60 (-0.05)          The Invite (TINVT) 30000 12.14 (-0.05)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 1000 17.26 (+0.06)          The Invite (TINVT) 30000 12.14 (-0.05)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 1000 17.26 (+0.06)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.14 (-1.78)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.75 (+0.08)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 961 235.26 (+0.53)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 24999 12.49 (+1.02)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 24.86 (+0.06)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 19.23 (+0.83)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.57 (+0.57)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.39 (+0.39)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 17.98 (+6.70)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 20000 10.00 (0.00)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 30000 18.34 (-0.03)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 20000 23.20 (-0.02)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 22960 235.26 (+0.53)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 30000 7.54 (-0.02)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 30000 21.87 (-0.02)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 55000 6.38 (-0.13)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 1000 7.98 (-0.25)