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And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 13:14 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

like BOF, BOT, etc. By comparison, MTC gets the adjust direction right 60% of the time, RS about 45% of the time.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         The Lighthouse (LITHS) 1 7.85 (+0.80)         Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 20000 21.69 (+2.13)         Margot Robbie (MROBB) 20000 77.45 (0.00)         Be Natural: The Untold Story of (BNAGB) 100000 1.00 (0.00)         The Lighthouse (LITHS) 100000 7.85 (+0.80)         The Lion King (LIONK) 3 493.77 (+0.70)         Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 20000 97.47 (+2.21)         Tim Burton (TBURT) 20000 63.56 (-12.87)         The Lion King (LIONK) 3 493.77 (+0.70)         Micro (MICRO) 50000 10.88 (+0.04)         Quentin Tarantino (QTARA) 20000 51.96 (+0.13)         Scoot McNairy (SMCNA) 20000 62.12 (+0.40)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 60.58 (+2.84)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 100000 99.61 (+5.38)         The Trench (TRNCH) 1 32.46 (-0.41)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 60.58 (+2.84)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 510 60.58 (+2.84)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Mouse Guard (MOUSG) 50 38.03 (+0.22)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 20000 21.69 (+2.13)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 60.58 (+2.84)         The Trench (TRNCH) 100000 32.46 (-0.41)         Tim Burton (TBURT) 20000 63.56 (-12.87)         Donald Glover (DOGLO) 20000 163.82 (-0.29)         Mouse Guard (MOUSG) 50 38.03 (+0.22)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 100000 99.61 (+5.38)         Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 20000 22.84 (+1.54)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Snoop Dogg (SDOGG) 20000 25.58 (+0.22)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Edward Zwick (EZWIC) 20000 46.10 (-0.40)         Train Man (TRANM) 1 2.59 (+0.54)         Train Man (TRANM) 1 2.59 (+0.54)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Jason Isaacs (JISAA) 20000 8.14 (-5.46)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)