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And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 13:14 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

like BOF, BOT, etc. By comparison, MTC gets the adjust direction right 60% of the time, RS about 45% of the time.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 100000 147.48 (0.00)         The New Gods (NGODS) 100000 28.99 (+3.86)         Operation Mincemeat (OPMNC) 100000 6.96 (-0.66)         Operation Mincemeat (OPMNC) 100000 6.96 (-0.66)         Sweetheart (SWTHT) 50 7.90 (-0.71)         Sweetheart (SWTHT) 100000 7.90 (-0.71)         RoboCop Returns (ROBO2) 100000 28.84 (-0.20)         Violence of Action (VOACT) 100000 14.66 (-2.79)         Bad Moms' Moms (BADM3) 100000 27.57 (-1.47)         Bad Moms' Moms (BADM3) 1 27.57 (-1.47)         Christopher Eccleston (CECCL) 500 79.32 (0.00)         The Professor and the Madman (PROFM) 104 0.01 (0.00)         Waldo (WLDO) 100000 13.36 (-0.10)         The Rental (RENTL) 100000 9.76 (-0.11)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 100000 9.23 (+0.02)         F.A.S.T. (FAST) 99999 24.22 (+0.07)         Stuber (STUBR) 1 23.72 (+0.98)         David Thewlis (DTHEW) 500 38.37 (+0.08)         Stuber (STUBR) 100000 23.72 (+0.98)         The Professor and the Madman (PROFM) 8996 0.01 (0.00)         Enola Holmes (ENOLA) 99999 34.63 (+1.90)         Don't Let Go (ONLYU) 1 16.85 (+1.10)         Don't Let Go (ONLYU) 100000 16.85 (+1.10)         The Wolf Man (TWLFM) 100000 4.01 (-0.04)         The Lion King (LIONK) 100000 491.58 (-0.26)         Top Gun: Maverick (TOPG2) 10000 144.92 (+0.65)         Death on the Nile (DNILE) 99999 58.86 (-0.19)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 100000 28.53 (-0.10)         Black Beauty (BLKBT) 1 22.39 (+2.32)         Black Beauty (BLKBT) 80000 22.39 (+2.32)         Black Beauty (BLKBT) 100000 22.39 (+2.32)         Red Notice (RNOTC) 100000 20.73 (-0.21)         Gugu Mbatha-Raw (GMBAT) 1000 74.84 (0.00)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 3 22.67 (-0.33)         Violence of Action (VOACT) 10000 14.66 (-2.79)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 3 22.67 (-0.33)         Oliver! (OLIVR) 100000 1.86 (-0.03)         Jurassic World 3 (JURA6) 3 294.06 (-0.33)         Jurassic World 3 (JURA6) 3 294.06 (-0.33)         Violence of Action (VOACT) 10000 14.66 (-2.79)         Spider-Man: Far From Home (SPID7) 100000 332.72 (+1.91)         Halloween Kills (HALW4) 8000 77.67 (+1.11)         Private Benjamin (PRBEN) 1 0.47 (+0.07)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 616 16.39 (-0.02)         Private Benjamin (PRBEN) 1 0.47 (+0.07)         Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FAFHS.PU) 20000 2.14 (-0.08)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 2 2.79 (+0.08)         Spider-Man: Far From Home (SPID7) 100000 332.72 (+1.91)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 2 2.79 (+0.08)         Operation Mincemeat (OPMNC) 20000 6.96 (-0.66)