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And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 13:14 in response to Ruthian23's post Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are...

like BOF, BOT, etc. By comparison, MTC gets the adjust direction right 60% of the time, RS about 45% of the time.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 23.29 (+0.12)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.30 (+0.48)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 149999 19.35 (-0.65)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.30 (+0.48)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 7000 150.88 (+1.82)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 149999 17.71 (-0.75)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 5000 150.88 (+1.82)          The Old Oak (OLOAK) 150000 0.30 (-0.03)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 14.68 (+0.08)          Julianne Nicholson (JUNIC) 25000 7.71 (-0.29)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.30 (+0.48)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 149999 243.21 (-0.64)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 149999 293.70 (-1.25)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 106538 64.19 (+3.20)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 18.35 (+0.35)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 25000 9.12 (+0.17)          With Love (WOLOV) 40099 22.75 (+1.63)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.11)          Naruto (NARUT) 9000 45.90 (-0.05)          Jenny Slate (JESLA) 25000 95.99 (-0.25)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 100000 57.82 (+0.58)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 30.30 (0.00)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 30000 23.55 (+0.12)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 149928 53.70 (+0.19)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 20000 23.04 (0.00)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 30000 23.55 (+0.12)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 10000 9.12 (+0.17)          NAR (NAR) 30000 6.34 (-0.02)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 20000 19.35 (-0.65)          NAR (NAR) 30000 6.34 (-0.02)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.35 (-0.65)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 30000 4.61 (0.00)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 4 56.18 (+0.33)          Downtown Owl (DTOWL) 4 2.36 (-0.01)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 99999 19.35 (-0.65)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 25794 20.00 (0.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 22.75 (+1.63)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.35 (-0.65)          DogMan (DGMAN) 150000 1.54 (-0.01)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 51497 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 51497 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)