HSX Forum

Movies

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54 in response to Roger More's post That's a grey area but I go with 25%

prediction is 100% greater than a 25M prediction) or that it only is true 25% of the time? I'm taking it as the former since it seems like you answered the later above, but the "%" being there gives me pause.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 7767 15.62 (+2.48)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 7677 15.62 (+2.48)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 5000 13.34 (-0.19)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 776 105.34 (-2.21)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 12.18 (-0.83)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 12.18 (-0.83)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 25000 29.00 (-0.91)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 58.33 (-7.11)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 58.33 (-7.11)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 25000 29.00 (-0.91)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 77248 590.06 (+21.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 85488 590.06 (+21.01)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 25000 99.81 (+1.87)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 85488 590.06 (+21.01)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 25000 99.81 (+1.87)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 238.70 (+1.30)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 10000 13.65 (-0.05)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 30000 44.79 (+3.56)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 1.19 (+0.01)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.65 (-0.05)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 150000 0.62 (-0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 2995 148.35 (-0.67)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 1995 148.35 (-0.67)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 40000 28.67 (-0.46)          This Is How It Goes (TIHIG) 150000 0.64 (-0.03)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 25000 28.67 (-0.46)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 9999 129.23 (+0.66)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 3 186.05 (+1.20)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 3 186.05 (+1.20)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 10000 267.34 (-3.89)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.18 (-0.04)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 21.57 (-0.05)          Atonement (ATONM) 99993 1.96 (-0.04)          Atonement (ATONM) 149999 1.96 (-0.04)          Coward (COWRD) 149999 1.16 (+0.16)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.16 (+0.16)          Merlin (MERLN) 27000 0.01 (-0.01)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 149999 58.33 (-7.11)          NDA (NDA) 149999 8.11 (+0.31)