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If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}

Posted by: BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17 in response to dioneta's post What is the MTC/RS Effect?

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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Untitled Judd Apatow / Pete Davi (UPDAV) 10000 53.74 (+1.16)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 31.54 (+9.41)         Jason Isaacs (JISAA) 20000 8.14 (-5.46)         The Lighthouse (LITHS) 100000 10.02 (+2.97)         Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 20000 57.97 (-3.26)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Pinocchio - Disney (PNOCC) 24000 85.22 (-3.67)         Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 20000 65.00 (0.00)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Be Natural: The Untold Story of (BNAGB) 100000 1.00 (0.00)         Jodie Foster (JFOST) 20000 30.12 (-2.08)         Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 20000 65.00 (0.00)         Frankie (FRNKI) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Evan Rachel Wood (ERWOO) 20000 15.74 (-2.49)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 9000 108.91 (-4.49)         Frankie (FRNKI) 50000 4.00 (0.00)         Catherine Hardwicke (CHARD) 20000 8.81 (-1.51)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Ben Kingsley (BKING) 20000 51.00 (+3.18)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Greg Kinnear (GKINN) 20000 37.23 (-0.16)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 3470 24.88 (+3.58)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         Ava DuVernay (ADUVE) 20000 47.17 (-2.74)         Those Who Wish Me Dead (TWWMD) 50000 14.99 (-0.07)         Long Shot H$15 Call (FLRSK.CA) 20000 2.69 (+0.08)         Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 25.82 (+0.24)         Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 20000 60.62 (-3.08)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         After (AFTR1) 50000 14.97 (-0.32)         Be Natural: The Untold Story of (BNAGB) 100000 1.00 (0.00)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 95000 103.85 (+9.62)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Rise (RISE1) 1 22.08 (+1.95)         Aquarela (AQULA) 100000 1.59 (-0.41)         Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (STAR9) 27440 575.75 (-0.11)         Meagan Good (MGOOD) 20000 64.35 (+0.99)         Angel Has Fallen (HFAL3) 3000 37.24 (+0.09)         The Eternals (ETRNL) 622 141.56 (+0.88)         Meagan Good (MGOOD) 20000 64.35 (+0.99)         Avengers: Endgame (AVNG4) 1 629.72 (+9.19)         Aquarela (AQULA) 50000 1.59 (-0.41)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Adam Brody (ADBRO) 20000 38.93 (+2.41)         Charlie's Angels (CHAR3) 100000 84.02 (-0.30)