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With the MTC/RS rule in effect...

Posted by: BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54 in response to notfabio's post Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous

This is supposed to be a reasonably family friendly board, right?  I can't complete my thought.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Playdate (PLYDT) 45909 16.99 (+0.33)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149999 24.57 (+0.03)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 20.13 (+0.48)          Playdate (PLYDT) 66000 16.99 (+0.33)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 14.70 (+0.73)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 14.70 (+0.73)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.08 (-0.32)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.08 (+0.74)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.04 (-0.91)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 23.26 (+0.06)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 18.69 (+0.06)          The Killer's Game (KLRGM) 150000 6.68 (+0.03)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 4.75 (+0.03)          Laurence Fishburne (LFISH) 25000 87.00 (-0.25)          The Monkey (MONKY) 1000 19.70 (+0.53)          Ray Romano (RROMA) 25000 48.65 (-0.16)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 150000 38.85 (+0.10)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 25000 16.60 (-0.01)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 25000 16.60 (-0.01)          The Island (ISLAN) 150000 3.51 (+0.03)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 150000 1.95 (+0.02)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 400 91.27 (-0.08)          Eddington (EDNGT) 150000 19.48 (+0.06)          The Monkey (MONKY) 1000 19.70 (+0.53)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.99 (+0.33)          Sienna Miller (SMILL) 745 15.90 (0.00)          A Complete Unknown aka Going Ele (GOELC) 150000 16.66 (+0.06)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1 16.99 (+0.33)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1 14.08 (+0.74)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 1 5.57 (+0.17)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 3000 4.08 (-0.32)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 3000 4.08 (-0.32)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 35147 274.28 (+0.17)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 78.13 (+0.25)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.99 (+0.33)          Unstoppable (USTPB) 100000 31.07 (-0.04)          Oliver Jackson-Cohen (OJCOH) 2999 18.55 (0.00)          Oliver Jackson-Cohen (OJCOH) 5999 18.55 (0.00)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 999 167.27 (0.00)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 993 167.27 (0.00)          Michael Fassbender (MFASS) 4993 32.69 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10000 91.27 (-0.08)          Send Help (SENDH) 15000 28.82 (-0.03)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 40000 12.89 (-0.02)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 30000 24.57 (+0.03)          Huntington (HNGTN) 9999 14.65 (-0.02)          The Fabulous Four (TFAB4) 30000 3.39 (-0.01)          The Substance (SBSTN) 20000 8.41 (-0.01)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 70000 8.25 (-0.01)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 1 14.08 (+0.74)