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That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:43 in response to Ruthian23's post Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 2.12 (-0.02)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 600 23.66 (0.00)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 600 49.93 (-0.05)          Sovereign (SOVRN) 5000 7.07 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 51 152.44 (0.00)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5200 18.41 (-0.30)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 2000 18.41 (-0.30)          Sight (SIGHT) 4000 6.90 (-0.29)          Sight (SIGHT) 100000 6.90 (-0.29)          White Bird (WHBRD) 10 11.95 (0.00)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 2000 9.82 (-0.23)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1000 139.92 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 10 127.90 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.07 (+0.07)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 1000 134.78 (0.00)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 10 32.63 (-0.03)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 8000 9.88 (+0.30)          Monopoly (MONOP) 1200 15.38 (+0.57)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 7200 13.48 (+0.50)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 20000 13.48 (+0.50)          By All (BYALL) 149999 5.07 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149999 4.74 (0.00)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 871 11.45 (0.00)          Jeanne Du Barry (JEANB) 11723 0.87 (0.00)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 5000 5.74 (0.00)          Sight (SIGHT) 3000 6.90 (-0.29)          Sight (SIGHT) 3000 6.90 (-0.29)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 5000 17.43 (0.00)          Sight (SIGHT) 1000 6.90 (-0.29)          Sight (SIGHT) 1000 6.90 (-0.29)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.48 (+0.50)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.48 (+0.50)          Challengers (CHALN) 600 30.55 (0.00)          Lucy Boynton (LBOYN) 25000 66.58 (+0.25)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.07 (+0.07)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 39.18 (+0.25)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 39.18 (+0.25)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 989 8.09 (+0.27)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 888 13.48 (+0.50)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 125000 9.88 (+0.30)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 50000 13.48 (+0.50)          Sight (SIGHT) 100000 6.90 (-0.29)          24/7 (247) 9650 0.10 (0.00)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 60000 0.47 (0.00)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 3623 23.42 (0.00)          Anthony Hopkins (AHOPK) 20000 3.09 (+0.04)          24/7 (247) 250 0.10 (0.00)          24/7 (247) 100 0.10 (0.00)          24/7 (247) 15000 0.10 (0.00)          Abigail (ABGAL) 850 62.12 (0.00)