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That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:43 in response to Ruthian23's post Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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The Batman (TBATM) 50 150.83 (-0.39)         Ma (MA) 100000 42.48 (+2.37)         Ma (MA) 100000 42.48 (+2.37)         Christina Applegate (CAPPL) 7500 74.75 (-0.80)         Dark Phoenix (XMEN7) 1000 72.46 (-2.24)         Isla Fisher (IFISH) 7500 17.04 (-0.13)         Anna - Opening Weekend (ANNA1.OW) 50 3.97 (-0.43)         Melissa Benoist (MBENO) 7500 13.15 (-0.14)         Kyle Gallner (KGALL) 7500 37.04 (-0.24)         Rocketman (RCKTM) 3784 74.44 (+1.16)         Raja Gosnell (RGOSN) 7500 63.65 (-0.54)         Will Smith (WSMIT) 5 123.36 (+1.19)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPD2) 1 111.42 (+1.43)         Neal McDonough (NMCDO) 7500 29.42 (-0.24)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPD2) 737 111.42 (+1.43)         Bryan Singer (BSING) 7500 114.33 (-0.29)         Ashton Kutcher (AKUTC) 7500 31.08 (-0.48)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 1000 389.85 (+0.74)         David Paymer (DPAYM) 7500 19.59 (-0.09)         Men in Black: International (MIB4) 1000 83.79 (-5.83)         Sing 2 (SING2) 10 164.72 (+0.43)         Ronda Rousey (RROUS) 7500 62.51 (-0.94)         Aladdin $260M Blockbuster Warran (ALADN.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Jennifer Aniston (JANIS) 7500 27.79 (-0.48)         Jessie Usher (JUSHE) 7500 49.82 (-1.15)         Richard Linklater (RLINK) 9750 0.77 (0.00)         Jane Lynch (JLYNC) 7500 68.40 (-0.54)         Jessie Usher (JUSHE) 7500 49.82 (-1.15)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 100000 88.45 (+10.93)         Ruby Rose (RROSE) 7500 75.93 (-0.20)         Snoop Dogg (SDOGG) 7500 22.22 (-0.32)         Gabriel Iglesias (GIGLE) 7500 71.65 (-0.40)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 1 25.18 (-0.18)         Sofia Coppola (SCOPP) 7500 4.00 (-0.16)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 4 88.45 (+10.93)         Casey Affleck (CAFFL) 7500 19.15 (-0.23)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 25000 88.45 (+10.93)         Wicked (WICKD) 100000 35.47 (+0.16)         Wicked (WICKD) 100000 35.47 (+0.16)         Run (RUN) 100000 27.14 (-0.20)         Run (RUN) 100000 27.14 (-0.20)         The Lion King (LIONK) 23 500.15 (-0.28)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 9000 39.57 (-2.92)         Richard Linklater (RLINK) 9750 0.77 (0.00)         Gabriel Iglesias (GIGLE) 7500 71.65 (-0.40)         Aladdin (ALADN) 99000 259.86 (+0.43)         Melissa Leo (MLEO) 7500 46.20 (-0.45)         The Rental (RENTL) 100000 13.31 (+1.67)         Chevy Chase (CCHAS) 9750 13.30 (-0.09)         Karyn Kusama (KKUSA) 9750 2.96 (0.00)