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That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:43 in response to Ruthian23's post Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 149999 14.88 (-0.17)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 100000 9.15 (-0.10)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 100000 28.55 (-0.13)          Airman (AIRMA) 100000 23.47 (-0.04)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 41.64 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 127.07 (-0.19)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.53 (-0.47)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 41.64 (-0.16)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 127.07 (-0.19)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.26 (-0.07)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.30 (-0.70)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.47 (-0.96)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 108.56 (+0.66)          Robotech (RTECH) 1 6.24 (-0.05)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 33.53 (-0.37)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 26.38 (+0.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 251.27 (-1.84)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 45.27 (+3.12)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.26 (-0.07)          The Choral (CHORL) 7 2.81 (-0.06)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 9.28 (+1.18)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 1.75 (+0.05)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.47 (-0.96)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 108.56 (+0.66)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.50 (+0.46)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 1000 218.18 (-1.15)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 33.53 (-0.37)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 100 65.03 (+0.71)          Empire City (EMPCT) 5 18.35 (-0.06)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 1 9.15 (-0.10)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 1 10.62 (-0.07)          Above The Below (ABELW) 1 6.17 (-0.08)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 1 15.00 (0.00)          Normal (NORML) 149993 20.10 (-0.19)          Normal (NORML) 149995 20.10 (-0.19)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.22 (+1.02)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 1 4.69 (-0.09)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149999 9.28 (+1.18)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 1.83 (-0.02)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 1.83 (-0.02)