HSX Forums: Movies Board






Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a CaineFund) on Oct 24, 12:34 in response to Ruthian23's post The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word,...

predictors.

For example, it correctly predicted big adjusts up for PNAC3, TLK3D, HNOV2, FFUR5 and LMTLS and that the following movies would disappoint - SHK3D, WARIR, STRAW, IDKHS, BIGYR, PAND2, SCRM4, SUCKP, and GWRRH.

Most times where the rule is wrong, the OW is close to MTC's prediction.Ā  Examples where the rule spectacularly missed the mark are RSAPE, IHOP which both adjusted up despite MTC being way lower than RS, and BMOM3, which adjusted down despite MTC being above RS.

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 500 150.00 (0.00)         Fantastic Four (FANF2) 1000 10.85 (+4.06)         Shazam 2 (SHAZ2) 10000 96.44 (+1.25)         The New Gods (NGODS) 444 32.68 (+7.55)         Tony Leung Chiu-wai (TLEUN) 20000 2.79 (+1.58)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 9740 150.00 (0.00)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Salma Hayek (SHAYE) 20000 37.60 (-0.24)         Salma Hayek (SHAYE) 20000 37.60 (-0.24)         Violence of Action (VOACT) 50000 14.79 (-2.66)         Violence of Action (VOACT) 50000 14.79 (-2.66)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         The New Gods (NGODS) 100000 32.68 (+7.55)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 15000 150.00 (0.00)         Ray Winstone (RWINS) 20000 25.47 (+0.40)         Stuber (STUBR) 100000 24.12 (+1.38)         The Lion King (LIONK) 5000 491.55 (-0.29)         Ray Winstone (RWINS) 20000 25.47 (+0.40)         Spider-Man: Far From Home (SPID7) 25000 335.10 (+4.29)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 7.94 (+0.32)         Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 20000 7.94 (+0.32)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 25000 150.00 (0.00)         David Harbour (DHARB) 20000 78.59 (+1.00)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 60.06 (-0.48)         David Harbour (DHARB) 20000 78.59 (+1.00)         The New Gods (NGODS) 1 32.68 (+7.55)         The New Gods (NGODS) 1 32.68 (+7.55)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 100000 133.74 (+5.54)         Toy Story 4 $350M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS4.BW) 20000 14.00 (+0.62)         Crime After Crime (CACRM) 100000 16.49 (-1.02)         Fantastic Four (FANF2) 100000 10.85 (+4.06)         Crime After Crime (CACRM) 99999 16.49 (-1.02)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (MFMLY) 99999 119.98 (-4.79)         Bad Moms' Moms (BADM3) 56281 27.53 (-1.51)         And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 1 1.52 (+0.07)         Operation Mincemeat (OPMNC) 1 7.07 (-0.55)         And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 1 1.52 (+0.07)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 61.60 (-0.13)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Robotech (RTECH) 1 3.99 (+0.08)         Robotech (RTECH) 1 3.99 (+0.08)         Revival (RVIVL) 1 1.56 (+0.08)         Revival (RVIVL) 1 1.56 (+0.08)         Spider-Man: Far From Home (SPID7) 150 335.10 (+4.29)         Magic Camp (MGCMP) 7206 1.09 (-0.03)         Clemence Poesy (CPOES) 200 88.78 (-0.80)         Trevante Rhodes (TRHOD) 4999 28.72 (-0.32)         Trevante Rhodes (TRHOD) 3999 28.72 (-0.32)         The Banker (BANKR) 2 11.58 (+1.07)         The Banker (BANKR) 2 11.58 (+1.07)