HSX Forums: Movies Board






What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08 in response to BionicMoron's post With the MTC/RS rule in effect...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm}   notfabio on Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm}   grammar on Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect...   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that...   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm}   islander on Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm}   BionicMoron on Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M    Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-)   xiayun on Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm}   Ruthian23 on Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm}   Roger More on Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm}   dioneta on Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm}   b4bad on Oct 24, 13:19





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Emilia Clarke (ECLAR) 20000 73.66 (0.00)         Rise (RISE1) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Kung Fury (KFURY) 29999 8.69 (-0.05)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 100000 250.76 (-1.57)         Dumbo $100M Blockbuster Warrant (DUMBO.BW) 20000 5.47 (+0.47)         Aquarela (AQULA) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Raid (RAID1) 100000 1.37 (+0.87)         Avengers: Endgame - Opening Week (AVNG4.OW) 100000 286.68 (+2.95)         Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 50000 14.24 (+0.04)         Penguins (PENGN) 100000 8.04 (-0.19)         Avengers: Endgame (AVNG4) 100000 616.29 (+3.63)         Elvis Presley (ELVIS) 100000 34.54 (-0.14)         The Raid (RAID1) 1 1.37 (+0.87)         Clue (CLUE) 1 4.42 (-0.08)         Clue (CLUE) 1 4.42 (-0.08)         The Raid (RAID1) 100000 1.37 (+0.87)         Red Notice (RNOTC) 25000 91.51 (-0.05)         Killers of the Flower Moon (KOTFM) 100000 28.90 (+3.00)         A Moment To Remember (AMTRM) 1 2.30 (-0.06)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Call (AVNG4.CA) 20000 5.62 (+0.35)         A Moment To Remember (AMTRM) 1 2.30 (-0.06)         Death on the Nile (DNILE) 100000 60.39 (+1.00)         Men in Black: International (MIB4) 1 148.53 (-1.73)         Men in Black: International (MIB4) 1 148.53 (-1.73)         Bios (BIOS) 50000 65.39 (0.00)         Crawl (CRAWL) 20000 27.45 (+0.09)         Untitled Lord and Miller aka The (TMVTM) 50000 39.82 (-0.04)         Three Christs (3CHRS) 1 1.92 (-0.04)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 100000 67.08 (+0.13)         Three Christs (3CHRS) 1 1.92 (-0.04)         Monster Hunter (MONHT) 25000 31.82 (+0.08)         Bill & Ted 3: Face the Music (BILL3) 25000 38.50 (+0.11)         Crawl (CRAWL) 29999 27.45 (+0.09)         The Raid (RAID1) 100000 1.37 (+0.87)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 100000 250.76 (-1.57)         Monster on the Hill (MONTH) 25000 36.89 (+0.27)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 100000 250.76 (-1.57)         Coming to America 2 aka Coming 2 (CTAM2) 25000 100.47 (+0.37)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 25000 134.18 (-0.19)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 50000 20.21 (+2.20)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 50000 20.21 (+2.20)         The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire (OSOH2) 100000 4.02 (+2.21)         Free Guy (FREEG) 100000 69.11 (-2.92)         The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire (OSOH2) 100000 4.02 (+2.21)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 50000 20.21 (+2.20)         Body at Brighton Rock (BDABR) 1 1.29 (-0.10)         Teen Spirit (TSPRT) 100000 4.00 (-0.23)         Teen Spirit (TSPRT) 100000 4.00 (-0.23)         Body at Brighton Rock (BDABR) 1 1.29 (-0.10)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 50000 20.21 (+2.20)