HSX Forum

Movies

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08 in response to BionicMoron's post With the MTC/RS rule in effect...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 2500 16.28 (+0.29)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 50000 5.21 (+0.02)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 64.41 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 6.12 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 129.78 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 31.37 (+0.10)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.32 (-0.01)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.42 (-0.01)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 8.57 (-0.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 2000 21.59 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 5.90 (+0.27)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1089 9.09 (-0.11)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.78 (+0.18)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 9.78 (+0.18)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 69999 58.63 (-0.82)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 150000 9.09 (-0.11)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 1 13.23 (+0.49)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 5000 13.96 (+0.29)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 70000 6.94 (+0.07)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 27.86 (+0.63)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 100000 9.09 (-0.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 149999 390.03 (+0.75)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 100000 4.43 (+0.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 10000 16.28 (+0.29)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 149999 9.09 (-0.11)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 12.97 (-0.12)          Primetime (PRMTM) 99999 22.99 (-0.42)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 20000 5.07 (+0.35)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 6.94 (+0.07)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.99 (-0.42)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.43 (+0.22)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.43 (+0.22)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.94 (+0.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 60000 5.07 (+0.35)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 1 58.63 (-0.82)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.90 (+0.27)          Above The Below (ABELW) 149999 5.90 (+0.27)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 15000 58.63 (-0.82)          Primetime (PRMTM) 149999 22.99 (-0.42)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 20000 58.63 (-0.82)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 60000 13.23 (+0.49)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 58.63 (-0.82)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 85000 13.96 (+0.29)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 59999 13.96 (+0.29)