HSX Forum

Movies

What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08 in response to BionicMoron's post With the MTC/RS rule in effect...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 3 289.42 (-0.01)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 100 2.42 (-0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 100 64.58 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.79 (-0.14)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.79 (-0.14)          Babies (BBIES) 25000 12.81 (-0.84)          Father Mother Sister Brother (FMSB) 100 2.58 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 25000 12.81 (-0.84)          Queens of the Dead (QSOTD) 150000 0.42 (-0.01)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 100 2.64 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 1000 53.41 (-0.05)          Peaked (PEAKD) 5000 8.13 (-0.19)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 2.41 (-0.02)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 2500 64.58 (-0.64)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 5000 22.96 (-0.85)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 100 2.54 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 20000 89.44 (+0.45)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.74 (+0.03)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 10 0.37 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 100 39.10 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.72 (-0.28)          Atropia (ATROP) 100 1.52 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.81 (-0.84)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 100 7.79 (+0.01)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100 70.89 (-0.09)          Airman (AIRMA) 100 23.47 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.81 (-0.84)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 10000 4.60 (-0.01)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 10000 4.60 (-0.01)          Sentimental Value (SENTV) 10000 4.40 (0.00)          Sentimental Value (SENTV) 25000 4.40 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 10000 4.21 (+0.05)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 40000 4.21 (+0.05)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.90 (-1.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.90 (-1.26)          Babies (BBIES) 10000 12.81 (-0.84)          Babies (BBIES) 10000 12.81 (-0.84)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 10000 5.63 (+0.82)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 20000 5.63 (+0.82)          Kate Winslet (KWINS) 665 73.95 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.90 (-1.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.90 (-1.26)          The Drama (TDRAM) 2000 19.78 (-0.02)          The Drama (TDRAM) 1000 19.78 (-0.02)          Peaked (PEAKD) 3000 8.13 (-0.19)          Peaked (PEAKD) 3000 8.13 (-0.19)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 1384 11.75 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 3000 4.51 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 3000 4.51 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 3000 5.63 (+0.82)