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What is the MTC/RS Effect? {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Oct 24, 12:08 in response to BionicMoron's post With the MTC/RS rule in effect...

Mtc 48 puss 13 time 9 rum 2.5 anonymous {nm} notfabio Oct 24, 11:42

Tagging MTC [PUSNB] [ANONM] [RUMDI] [NTIME] {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

Thanks N. {nm} grammar Oct 24, 11:53

With the MTC/RS rule in effect... BionicMoron Oct 24, 11:54

What is the MTC/RS Effect? dioneta Oct 24, 12:08

The rule, as I've been told it (rule is the wrong word, as it's not always true, but for lack of a better word) is that... Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:16

also there is the mtc/rs corollary which states "whenever someone posts about the mtc/rs rule, someone will ask what the mtc/rs rule is" {nm} islander Oct 24, 12:18

Last time it was posted I was the one who asked, so maybe we can add that the one who just got it answered will be the one to explain next. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:21

Nothing's perfect, but the RS/MTC rule has been spectacularly wrong only a few times this year, which is a better record than most other Roger More Oct 24, 12:34

If MTC is well above RS, then the movie wil perform above even MTC. If MTC well less than RS the movie will perform even lower than MTC. {nm} BionicMoron Oct 24, 12:17

Couple of clarification questions on this: 1. What do we consider "well" above or below? 2.What % of the time would people say this "works?" {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:30

That's a grey area but I go with 25% {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 12:43

Thanks. Just one more clarification, with that number are you saying 25% more or less when it comes to the predictions (like a 50M Ruthian23 Oct 24, 12:54

25% is the answer for question 1. :-) xiayun Oct 24, 13:08

Yes. Using the predictions for PNAC3 as an example, MTC was 38, RS was 30. RS*1.25=37.5<MTC {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:10

And to your second question (earlier) - it picks the direction of the adjust 65% of the time, up there with other strong predictors Roger More Oct 24, 13:14

Thanks. I know how annoying I have to be with all the questions, so I appreciate the patience. {nm} Ruthian23 Oct 24, 13:16

It's not annoying. {nm} Roger More Oct 24, 13:24

Thanks for responses.. and good question Ruthian23 :) {nm} dioneta Oct 24, 12:44

Those are good numbers for Anonymous considering it is opening to limited release... {nm} b4bad Oct 24, 13:19





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The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 48320 16.71 (-1.29)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 64.22 (+6.82)          Clue (CLUE) 149999 14.39 (+0.65)          Famous (FAMOS) 149999 12.24 (-0.16)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 6 24.36 (+0.72)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 14.88 (+3.83)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 149999 4.80 (+1.59)          Helen Hunt (HHUNT) 25000 13.97 (+0.20)          Shiver (SHVER) 25000 64.22 (+6.82)          Mob Girl (MOBGR) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          Mob Girl (MOBGR) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.80 (+1.59)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 2 4.80 (+1.59)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 78 177.03 (+2.14)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.80 (+1.59)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 149999 4.80 (+1.59)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 149998 4.80 (+1.59)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.80 (+1.59)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 31.45 (+0.25)          Shiver (SHVER) 15000 64.22 (+6.82)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          Shiver (SHVER) 10000 64.22 (+6.82)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 5000 49.58 (+0.15)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 5000 82.69 (-0.23)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 16.71 (-1.29)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 5000 167.27 (-0.58)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 5000 91.95 (+0.10)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 37500 44.53 (-0.09)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 5000 92.99 (-0.26)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 5000 93.14 (-0.01)          Werwulf (WERWU) 5000 68.08 (-0.06)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 37500 46.66 (-0.28)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 243 472.90 (+0.38)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 113.18 (-0.56)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 5000 179.08 (-0.35)          Mercy (MRCY1) 25000 22.05 (-0.61)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 89000 19.37 (-0.18)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 344 472.90 (+0.38)          Mercy (MRCY1) 149999 22.05 (-0.61)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 133.82 (+0.43)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 5000 103.28 (-0.23)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.97 (+0.10)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 5.98 (+0.12)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.68 (+0.17)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5000 71.81 (+0.19)          Undertone (UNDTN) 149999 12.21 (+0.32)