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I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 25, 18:41 in response to Moviesnob's post Here are some futures that should cause some conversation

The 1SHOT trailer got a very good reaction at both movies I saw it attached to this week, both keyed in to the "hat disguise" scene at the end of the trailer.  So... it's one of the 4.

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm} JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 224.34 (+0.70)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Gro (SWAR3) 5 208.82 (-0.29)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 100000 11.93 (+0.47)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 50000 64.19 (+3.20)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 150.90 (+1.84)          Civil War - Opening Weekend (CVLWR.OW) 100000 20.64 (+0.64)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.19 (+3.20)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.19 (+3.20)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 469 76.01 (-0.08)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 45000 44.42 (+1.77)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 114383 20.00 (0.00)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 5000 23.64 (-0.08)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 5000 114.29 (-2.23)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 25000 33.07 (-1.37)          Selena Gomez (SGOME) 25000 99.16 (-0.50)          Marcia Gay Harden (MGHAR) 25000 43.53 (-0.66)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 109.43 (-0.46)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 125.46 (-0.93)          Jackie Chan (JCHAN) 4990 23.64 (-0.08)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 150000 6.28 (-0.06)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 25.90 (-0.25)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 13.76 (+0.02)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 9.31 (+0.41)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Possum Trot (PSMTR) 150000 13.76 (+0.02)          Pryor (PRYOR) 150000 0.07 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.42 (+0.60)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 150.90 (+1.84)          Tatiana Maslany (TMASL) 10000 33.60 (-0.55)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 44.42 (+1.77)          Pryor (PRYOR) 150000 0.07 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 3000 21.42 (+0.60)          Alex Pettyfer (APETT) 9995 59.09 (-0.40)          The Monkey (MONKY) 3200 21.42 (+0.60)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 9995 56.12 (+0.27)          Tatiana Maslany (TMASL) 25000 33.60 (-0.55)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 2000 11.93 (+0.47)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 400 11.93 (+0.47)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 25.90 (-0.25)          Oh, Canada (OCNDA) 150000 5.75 (+0.03)          The First Omen H$10 Call (OMEN1.CA) 5000 2.96 (+0.15)          The First Omen H$10 Call (OMEN1.CA) 5200 2.96 (+0.15)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 50000 19.50 (-0.50)          Downtown Owl (DTOWL) 149995 2.35 (-0.02)          The First Omen H$10 Put (OMEN1.PU) 1000 1.68 (-0.11)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)