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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm}   dsbman on Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm}   RazorHawk on Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.   second gary on Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM.   GMov on Nov 25, 18:44

A good point.   second gary on Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm}   GMov on Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening.   second gary on Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country   alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like    GMov on Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm}   second gary on Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will.   Lucas73 on Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday...   gardavou on Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"...   second gary on Nov 25, 19:55

TY   gardavou on Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm}   Paul2k on Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.    thatpj on Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm}   PVL Admin on Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm}   Facto on Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm}   He was looting me, ruining me! on Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm}   Facto on Nov 26, 16:47





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Captain Marvel (CMARV) 11800 219.09 (+1.11)         N9: Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman - (N9DSLE) 20000 6.02 (+0.11)         N9: Bradley Cooper - A Star Is B (N9DBCO) 20000 6.73 (+0.68)         N9: Alfonso Cuaron - Roma - Dire (N9DACU) 20000 6.65 (+0.35)         Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 4000 6.95 (+0.01)         Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 4000 6.95 (+0.01)         N9: Adam McKay - Vice - Director (N9DAMC) 20000 6.57 (+0.50)         Four Kids and It (4CHIT) 100000 10.58 (-0.05)         N9: The Favourite - Picture (N9PFAV) 20000 6.18 (+0.31)         N9: First Man - Picture (N9PFRS) 20000 6.07 (-0.23)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 1100 219.09 (+1.11)         Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 4000 6.95 (+0.01)         Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 4000 6.95 (+0.01)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 100000 189.96 (-1.90)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 100000 134.62 (-2.51)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 100000 134.62 (-2.51)         Venom 2 (VENM2) 86540 114.27 (+14.27)         N9: Mary Poppins Return - Pictur (N9PMPR) 20000 6.18 (+0.05)         N9: Bohemian Rhapsody - Picture (N9PBOH) 20000 6.49 (+0.10)         The Front Runner (TFRUN) 100000 2.75 (-0.28)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 100000 134.62 (-2.51)         N9: First Man - Picture (N9PFRS) 20000 6.07 (-0.23)         Ralph Breaks the Internet $155M (RALP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Avengers: Endgame (AVNG4) 18000 559.97 (-0.97)         N9: Bohemian Rhapsody - Picture (N9PBOH) 20000 6.49 (+0.10)         Creed II $105M Blockbuster Warra (CREE2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         N9: Vice - Picture (N9PVIC) 20000 5.63 (-0.42)         N9: The Favourite - Picture (N9PFAV) 20000 6.18 (+0.31)         N9: Roma - Picture (N9PROM) 20000 6.21 (+0.25)         N9: Mary Poppins Return - Pictur (N9PMPR) 20000 6.18 (+0.05)         N9: If Beale Street Could Talk - (N9PIBS) 20000 6.02 (+0.21)         N9: Green Book - Picture (N9PGRN) 20000 6.05 (+0.24)         N9: Mary Poppins Return - Pictur (N9PMPR) 20000 6.18 (+0.05)         N9: BlacKkKlansman - Picture (N9PBKM) 20000 5.89 (+0.13)         N9: First Man - Picture (N9PFRS) 20000 6.07 (-0.23)         N9: Black Panther - Picture (N9PBPM) 20000 7.15 (+0.30)         N9: Bohemian Rhapsody - Picture (N9PBOH) 20000 6.49 (+0.10)         Matangi/Maya/M.I.A. (MMMIA) 100000 0.44 (-0.09)         N9: A Star Is Born - Picture (N9PASB) 20000 6.75 (+0.65)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 100000 134.62 (-2.51)         N9: Vice - Original (N9OVIC) 20000 6.16 (+0.29)         N9: The Favourite - Original (N9OFAV) 20000 6.27 (+0.38)         Bad Reputation (BADRP) 100000 0.38 (-0.15)         N9: Stan & Ollie - Original (N9OSAO) 20000 3.93 (-0.13)         N9: Sorry to Bother You - Origin (N9OSBY) 20000 4.35 (-0.05)         Venom 2 (VENM2) 100000 114.27 (+14.27)         N9: Roma - Original (N9OROM) 20000 6.03 (+0.26)         N9: Green Book - Original (N9OGRN) 20000 5.79 (+0.09)         Ralph Breaks the Internet $155M (RALP2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         N9: First Reformed - Original (N9OFRF) 20000 5.97 (+0.18)