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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 20000 319.34 (+3.32)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 10000 13.02 (+1.72)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 10000 13.02 (+1.72)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 14 222.65 (-1.47)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 494.79 (-1.79)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.17 (+0.02)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1000 177.95 (+0.13)          Losing Earth aka The Statement (LERTH) 150000 6.37 (-0.58)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 40000 38.21 (+6.29)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 7000 8.54 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 1000 164.91 (+0.59)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 17.11 (+0.30)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 12000 200.47 (+0.55)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 31000 239.80 (+1.05)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 5.48 (+0.57)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 164.91 (+0.59)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25000 34.18 (-0.35)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 150000 85.04 (+0.27)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 162.00 (-0.50)          Legacy (LGACY) 150000 4.46 (+0.52)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 1.59 (+0.02)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 38.21 (+6.29)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 0.73 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 1 231.49 (+0.50)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 38.21 (+6.29)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 4 33.03 (+0.17)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 4 34.53 (+0.06)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 6 33.03 (+0.17)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 9 222.65 (-1.47)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 4 4.10 (-0.01)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 9 222.65 (-1.47)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 4 4.10 (-0.01)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 5 9.55 (-0.03)          Sunny (SUNNY) 5 17.72 (+0.08)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 35 110.69 (-0.22)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 63 40.83 (-0.18)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 1.82 (-3.92)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 7 3.72 (+0.02)          Semplica Girl Diaries (SEMGD) 800 2.80 (-0.01)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 4 16.26 (+0.04)          The Invite (TINVT) 4 14.14 (+0.03)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 99 15.01 (-0.02)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 4 18.53 (+0.02)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 4 40.74 (+0.08)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 6 76.97 (-0.34)          District 10 (DIS10) 4 16.27 (+0.03)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150 8.14 (-0.03)          El Muerto (MUERT) 140 4.66 (+0.01)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 15 5.60 (+0.06)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 4 13.68 (-0.05)