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also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 100000 8.21 (+0.60)          Anora (ANORA) 15000 4.02 (+0.83)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Anora (ANORA) 15000 4.02 (+0.83)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.49 (+1.49)          Justin Theroux (JTHER) 25000 75.71 (-0.25)          Touch (TOUC) 120000 1.20 (+0.66)          Anora (ANORA) 145433 4.02 (+0.83)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 14.16 (+0.28)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 149195 11.49 (+1.49)          The Phoenician Scheme (TPSCH) 5000 20.85 (+0.02)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 93956 18.88 (+0.03)          Julia Louis-Dreyfus (JLOUI) 25000 72.06 (-1.26)          Julia Louis-Dreyfus (JLOUI) 25000 72.06 (-1.26)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 805 11.49 (+1.49)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 400 84.25 (-0.46)          Jeanne Du Barry (JEANB) 150000 1.08 (+0.10)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 100 49.17 (-4.96)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 1.20 (+0.66)          The Monkey (MONKY) 900 20.27 (+1.00)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.02 (+0.83)          Touch (TOUC) 30000 1.20 (+0.66)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 100 49.17 (-4.96)          Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 25000 110.50 (-0.36)          Jason Flemyng (JFLEM) 25000 29.82 (-0.25)          Clue (CLUE) 100000 15.83 (-1.14)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 34.73 (-0.88)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 27.71 (+0.79)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 27.71 (+0.79)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 20000 49.17 (-4.96)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.49 (+1.49)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.79 (-0.21)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.86 (-0.14)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 88.26 (+0.25)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 150000 69.14 (-0.27)          Justin Baldoni (JBALD) 25000 25.40 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 149999 49.17 (-4.96)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 49.17 (-4.96)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 46500 49.17 (-4.96)          Halle Berry (HBERR) 25000 67.38 (-1.25)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 3.32 (+0.06)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 3.32 (+0.06)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 3.32 (+0.06)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 9259 216.69 (+1.01)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 9.06 (-0.12)          Barbarella (BARBA) 150000 48.94 (+0.08)