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A good point.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 25, 19:28 in response to GMov's post Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and...

But I have to believe HOBIT will challenge that ceiling, well, rout it, actually.  That said it will be good to be online that night, just in case, with an eye to the two sequels.

PGUID and LESMS trailers have both also got audibly good reactions when I've seen them shown this past ten days or so (2-3 times each).  PGUID looks like it is meeting the bar for its genre-group (a gentler entry in the "Meet the Fokkers" line) and LESMS looks like a well-produced and well-sung take on the most widely loved musical of the last forty years.

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm} JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





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Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 24861 48.80 (-0.83)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 24877 127.15 (-0.31)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 24876 7.46 (-0.19)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 23.41 (0.00)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 25000 26.62 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 24775 32.15 (-1.12)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 4 6.70 (+0.05)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.78 (+1.25)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.78 (+1.25)          Young Washington (YWASH) 1 30.48 (+0.16)          Them (THEM) 1 40.00 (0.00)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 19 119.10 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 83.85 (-0.25)          Them (THEM) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 17.59 (+0.10)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 24874 15.82 (-0.39)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 1 4.48 (+0.05)          Hokum (HOKUM) 9 15.68 (-0.96)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 149774 2.15 (+0.25)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 19.03 (0.00)          RZA (RZA) 24868 54.80 (+0.01)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 14 88.78 (+1.25)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 14.60 (+0.02)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 101.16 (+2.47)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.77 (+0.06)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 1 0.77 (+0.06)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 149876 0.77 (+0.06)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 149876 7.92 (+0.07)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3000 266.01 (+1.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 3000 378.13 (-0.80)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3000 152.02 (-0.74)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 1 0.83 (-0.09)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 149876 0.83 (-0.09)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 1 12.10 (-0.93)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149876 12.10 (-0.93)          Obsession (OBSSN) 10 22.32 (+0.06)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.14 (-10.82)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          Colony (CLONY) 10 2.01 (-0.04)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 149876 0.77 (-0.01)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 149776 2.90 (+0.05)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.97 (+0.79)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 1 9.45 (-0.15)