HSX Forum

Movies

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.

Posted by: thatpj (a.k.a del_GSS_thatpj) on Nov 25, 20:50 in response to Moviesnob's post Here are some futures that should cause some conversation

I daresay that if it only opens to 80M that would be bombworthy.Ā 

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm} dsbman Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation Moviesnob Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm} RazorHawk Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low. second gary Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM. GMov Nov 25, 18:44

A good point. second gary Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm} GMov Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening. second gary Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country alfpaulytd2012 Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like GMov Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm} JDolphin Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm} second gary Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will. Lucas73 Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday... gardavou Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"... second gary Nov 25, 19:55

TY gardavou Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm} Paul2k Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm} Moviesnob Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there. thatpj Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm} PVL Admin Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm} Facto Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm} He was looting me, ruining me! Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm} Facto Nov 26, 16:47





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.47 (-0.37)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.94 (+0.84)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.74 (-0.03)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 149999 21.51 (+0.29)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 21.51 (+0.29)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.09 (+0.09)          Fleur (FLEUR) 149999 7.17 (+0.28)          Obsession (OBSSN) 20000 22.32 (0.00)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.17 (+0.28)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149999 11.98 (+0.40)          In the Grey (NGREY) 20000 19.49 (+0.63)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.98 (+0.40)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149999 6.16 (+0.41)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 58.36 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149999 6.16 (+0.41)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 4000 48.41 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 6.16 (+0.41)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 149999 9.56 (+0.52)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.56 (+0.52)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 14.05 (+0.76)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 21000 48.85 (+0.03)          In the Grey (NGREY) 149999 19.49 (+0.63)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 4000 84.26 (0.00)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 19.49 (+0.63)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 149999 10.09 (+0.61)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.09 (+0.61)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 10000 48.85 (+0.03)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 14.05 (+0.76)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 14.05 (+0.76)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149999 12.94 (+0.84)          The Catch (TCATC) 10000 53.99 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.94 (+0.84)          The Catch (TCATC) 60000 53.99 (0.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.47 (-0.37)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.94 (+0.84)          The Catch (TCATC) 75000 53.99 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 4.99 (+0.04)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.66 (-0.22)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.56 (-0.04)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 53.99 (0.00)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 4.46 (-0.07)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.94 (+0.84)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 1 52.22 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 25000 48.85 (+0.03)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.47 (-0.37)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 8.99 (+0.05)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.98 (+0.40)          Matt Damon (MDAMO) 300 125.90 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.98 (+0.40)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 50000 44.23 (-0.05)