Market Announcement: NominOptions for the leading Oscar contenders will begin trading on Thursday..

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.

Posted by: thatpj (a.k.a del_GSS_thatpj) on Nov 25, 20:50 in response to Moviesnob's post Here are some futures that should cause some conversation

I daresay that if it only opens to 80M that would be bombworthy. 

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm}   dsbman on Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm}   RazorHawk on Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.   second gary on Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM.   GMov on Nov 25, 18:44

A good point.   second gary on Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm}   GMov on Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening.   second gary on Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country   alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like    GMov on Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm}   second gary on Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will.   Lucas73 on Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday...   gardavou on Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"...   second gary on Nov 25, 19:55

TY   gardavou on Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm}   Paul2k on Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.    thatpj on Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm}   PVL Admin on Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm}   Facto on Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm}   He was looting me, ruining me! on Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm}   Facto on Nov 26, 16:47





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 99900 292.09 (+1.41)         Keira Knightley (KKNIG) 20000 44.63 (+1.97)         Manuel Garcia-Rulfo (MGARC) 1000 71.13 (+1.24)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 900 8.55 (0.00)         Callum Turner (CTURN) 20000 41.92 (+7.84)         Jamie Dornan (JDORN) 20000 77.09 (+3.37)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 12.59 (-21.09)         Candyman (CNDYM) 1287 53.48 (+0.82)         Liam Neeson (LNEES) 20000 17.22 (+2.39)         Jamie Dornan (JDORN) 20000 77.09 (+3.37)         Chevy Chase (CCHAS) 20000 14.37 (-1.75)         Pickle (PICKL) 100000 28.44 (+3.44)         The Black Phantom (BPHNT) 19999 1.28 (+0.04)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 12.59 (-21.09)         A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmage (SHEP2) 100000 10.16 (+4.10)         Judi Dench (JDENC) 20000 43.11 (+0.64)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 12.59 (-21.09)         Judi Dench (JDENC) 20000 43.11 (+0.64)         Claudia Kim (CKIM) 20000 148.68 (+5.26)         Harbinger (HARBN) 1 11.86 (+4.02)         Reaper (REAPR) 19999 1.03 (+0.07)         Run (RUN) 100000 27.15 (+0.86)         Daniel Kaluuya (DKALU) 10000 107.97 (+2.00)         Callum Turner (CTURN) 20000 41.92 (+7.84)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 12.59 (-21.09)         Isabela Moner (IMONE) 20000 56.56 (-0.28)         Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 20000 17.28 (-0.49)         Isabela Moner (IMONE) 20000 56.56 (-0.28)         Brian Tyree Henry (BTHEN) 20000 17.28 (-0.49)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 12.59 (-21.09)         Gina Gershon (GGERS) 20000 12.04 (+0.05)         Rose Byrne (RBYRN) 20000 77.23 (+1.44)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 20000 95.28 (+1.20)         Pinocchio - Netflix (PNOCH) 99999 0.61 (-0.02)         Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 20000 18.68 (-0.13)         Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 20000 18.68 (-0.13)         Bumblebee - Opening Weekend (TFRM6.OW) 2227 47.84 (+1.18)         Carmen Ejogo (CEJOG) 20000 95.91 (+0.03)         Lukas Haas (LHAAS) 4739 56.55 (+1.03)         Bumblebee H$40 Call (TFRM6.CA) 1262 3.17 (+0.11)         Jungle Cruise (JUNGC) 1664 118.42 (+0.38)         Carmen Ejogo (CEJOG) 20000 95.91 (+0.03)         FOX: The Passage (PASSAG) 19602 8.00 (0.00)         Carmen Ejogo (CEJOG) 20000 95.91 (+0.03)         Lukas Haas (LHAAS) 4739 56.55 (+1.03)         CW: Charmed (CHARMD) 1 11.56 (+0.16)         Elizabeth Debicki (EDEBI) 20000 81.43 (-1.06)         Aquaman - Opening Weekend (AQUMN.OW) 1919 72.20 (+1.72)         Elizabeth Debicki (EDEBI) 20000 81.43 (-1.06)         Katherine Waterston (KWATE) 1000 97.75 (+17.17)