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Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.

Posted by: thatpj (a.k.a del_GSS_thatpj) on Nov 25, 20:50 in response to Moviesnob's post Here are some futures that should cause some conversation

I daresay that if it only opens to 80M that would be bombworthy. 

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm}   dsbman on Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm}   RazorHawk on Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.   second gary on Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM.   GMov on Nov 25, 18:44

A good point.   second gary on Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm}   GMov on Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening.   second gary on Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country   alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like    GMov on Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm}   second gary on Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will.   Lucas73 on Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday...   gardavou on Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"...   second gary on Nov 25, 19:55

TY   gardavou on Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm}   Paul2k on Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.    thatpj on Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm}   PVL Admin on Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm}   Facto on Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm}   He was looting me, ruining me! on Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm}   Facto on Nov 26, 16:47





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The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 100000 31.27 (+2.76)         The Voyage of Doctor Dolittle (DOCDO) 3000 102.89 (+0.03)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 100000 33.28 (+0.03)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 5000 48.16 (+0.29)         Hampstead (HMPST) 30000 0.20 (-0.04)         The Trade (TTRAD) 45000 0.17 (-0.03)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 5000 269.59 (+0.88)         The Peppercorn Chronicles (PEPRC) 30000 0.01 (-0.02)         Untitled James Gunn Horror Movie (UJGHM) 100000 16.31 (+1.31)         The Lie aka Between the Earth an (THLIE) 10000 14.75 (-0.20)         Border (BORDR) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Spider-Man: Homecoming 2 (SPID7) 2000 272.05 (+0.42)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 5000 553.91 (-1.16)         The First Purge - Opening Weeken (PURG4.OW) 1500 27.37 (+0.33)         Potfest (POTFS) 12500 12.55 (-0.35)         Ant-Man and the Wasp - Opening W (ANTM2.OW) 1500 73.10 (+1.73)         The Crow (TCROW) 100000 8.27 (+0.06)         Her Smell (HERSM) 12500 4.46 (+1.11)         Black Panther 2 (BPNT2) 5000 429.60 (+0.76)         Uncle Drew - Opening Weekend (UDREW.OW) 1500 16.54 (+0.04)         Castro's Daughter (CASDT) 25000 0.01 (-0.05)         Black Panther 2 (BPNT2) 5000 429.60 (+0.76)         Tag (TAG) 100000 35.82 (+0.26)         Sicario: Day of the Soldado - Op (SICA2.OW) 2200 15.89 (+0.04)         Katie Says Goodbye (KATGB) 15000 0.11 (-0.03)         Sleeper (SLEPR) 25000 0.07 (+0.06)         Spy's Kid (SPYSK) 45000 0.22 (+0.06)         Jacob's Ladder (JLADR) 100000 10.53 (+0.74)         Jacob's Ladder (JLADR) 100000 10.53 (+0.74)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 100000 31.27 (+2.76)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 100000 31.27 (+2.76)         Untitled James Gunn Horror Movie (UJGHM) 50000 16.31 (+1.31)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 54928 162.13 (+3.13)         Untitled James Gunn Horror Movie (UJGHM) 100000 16.31 (+1.31)         Ant-Man and the Wasp - Opening W (ANTM2.OW) 100000 73.10 (+1.73)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 12.11 (+0.70)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 99997 31.27 (+2.76)         Blaze (BLAZE) 100000 0.99 (+0.24)         An Actor Prepares (ACTPR) 100000 1.22 (+0.09)         Rocketman (RCKTM) 100000 15.15 (+0.06)         The Force (TFORC) 100000 13.17 (+0.05)         Sicario: Day of the Soldado (SICA2) 1000 29.67 (-0.46)         The Force (TFORC) 99999 13.17 (+0.05)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 100000 370.47 (-8.13)         Siberia (SIBER) 1000 1.59 (-0.09)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 100000 370.47 (-8.13)         The Mule (TMULE) 100000 23.81 (+0.13)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 42276 162.13 (+3.13)         Christian Bale (CBALE) 20000 35.61 (+0.24)         Juan Antonio Bayona (JABAY) 20000 26.79 (+0.32)