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Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.

Posted by: thatpj (a.k.a del_GSS_thatpj) on Nov 25, 20:50 in response to Moviesnob's post Here are some futures that should cause some conversation

I daresay that if it only opens to 80M that would be bombworthy. 

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm}   dsbman on Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm}   RazorHawk on Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.   second gary on Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM.   GMov on Nov 25, 18:44

A good point.   second gary on Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm}   GMov on Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening.   second gary on Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country   alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like    GMov on Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm}   second gary on Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will.   Lucas73 on Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday...   gardavou on Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"...   second gary on Nov 25, 19:55

TY   gardavou on Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm}   Paul2k on Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.    thatpj on Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm}   PVL Admin on Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm}   Facto on Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm}   He was looting me, ruining me! on Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm}   Facto on Nov 26, 16:47





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Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 100000 25.27 (+1.95)         Sean Bean (SBEAN) 19999 62.78 (-1.20)         Maya Rudolph (MRUDO) 20000 38.17 (+0.85)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 99940 25.27 (+1.95)         Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 20000 57.61 (-0.31)         Thomas Jane (TJANE) 20000 1.29 (-1.25)         Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Fa (DWHWG) 100000 1.45 (-0.02)         Museo (MUSEO) 100000 1.00 (0.00)         Maya Rudolph (MRUDO) 20000 38.17 (+0.85)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 96.00 (+0.78)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         Wild Rose (WLDRS) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 75.13 (+0.34)         Kevin Macdonald (KMCDO) 20000 2.77 (-0.22)         Anthony Ramos (ARAMO) 20000 25.00 (0.00)         Ben Foster (BFOST) 20000 28.86 (-0.22)         Claire Foy (CFOY) 1000 11.60 (+0.16)         Joel McHale (JMCHA) 20000 63.24 (+0.12)         Come Away (CAWAY) 100000 25.72 (+0.72)         Rupert Everett (REVER) 20000 17.89 (+0.43)         Li Bingbing (LBING) 20000 77.86 (+0.40)         The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 20000 105.36 (+1.01)         Slaughterhouse Rulez (SHRUL) 44999 5.90 (+0.90)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 75.13 (+0.34)         Becky G (BGOME) 20000 30.57 (-0.06)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 20000 105.36 (+1.01)         Replicas (RPLIC) 100000 16.46 (+1.54)         Douglas Booth (DBOOT) 20000 33.48 (+0.08)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 75.13 (+0.34)         Morbius (MORBI) 100000 43.74 (-0.13)         Sean Bean (SBEAN) 20000 62.78 (-1.20)         Pinocchio - Disney (PNOCC) 100000 84.34 (-0.80)         The Predator (PRED4) 100000 59.38 (-1.39)         Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 20000 75.13 (+0.34)         Come Away (CAWAY) 2644 25.72 (+0.72)         Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 183 86.77 (-0.16)         Joel McHale (JMCHA) 20000 63.24 (+0.12)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         Thomas Jane (TJANE) 20000 1.29 (-1.25)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         The Lodge (LODGE) 1 14.48 (+1.78)         Sean Bean (SBEAN) 20000 62.78 (-1.20)         Thomas Jane (TJANE) 20000 1.29 (-1.25)         Ben Foster (BFOST) 20000 28.86 (-0.22)         Come Away (CAWAY) 1 25.72 (+0.72)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 20000 10.94 (-1.03)         Joel McHale (JMCHA) 20000 63.24 (+0.12)