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Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country

Posted by: alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31 in response to second gary's post Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am...

The densest part population wise at that. 2ft + accumulations from the east coast to the mid atlantic up to Illinois. Hard to watch a movie at the mall with 2 feet of snow on the ground/roads....if the theaters even had power that is.

RS says low single digits for [COLC2] and mid teens for [KILTS] {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:02

I've seen a strangely high number of COLC2 TV ads, not that this means anything. I wonder if even those who saw the 1st remember it. {nm}   dsbman on Nov 25, 18:09

Here are some futures that should cause some conversation   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 18:17

no way! {nm}   RazorHawk on Nov 25, 18:28

I believe... one of the five will prove close; but the other four are low.   second gary on Nov 25, 18:41

Remember, December openers tend to have lower OW's and great legs. Highest December opener ever is $77MM.   GMov on Nov 25, 18:44

A good point.   second gary on Nov 25, 19:28

Fair poins as well...I agree on Parental Guidance...am indifferent on Les Mis...but why may I ask do you think Hobbit will do so well? Seems {nm}   GMov on Nov 25, 19:50

Why I think "The Hobbit" will beat "I am legend" for best December opening.   second gary on Nov 25, 20:16

Avatar would likely have opened better but there was a blizzard that hit 1/4 of the country   alfpaulytd2012 on Nov 25, 20:31

Seems logical. I have checked with some local theaters and seems like presales are solid but nowhere near the tent poles like    GMov on Nov 25, 20:43

also LOTR3 opened on a Wed and had 51 mil for W&T which was not counted in OW - had that opened on Fri, it would have blown away prev Dec {nm}   JDolphin on Nov 26, 01:46

I'd forgotten the W opening for LRDR3. That's a good point in HOBIT's favour. {nm}   second gary on Nov 26, 06:45

I got my tickets to The Hobbit High Frame Rate 3D on the 18th Dec...Can't wait.... but I guess I will.   Lucas73 on Nov 27, 00:38

BTW I was wondering what that OW multiplier will be for the movies opening on the 25th since its a Tuesday...   gardavou on Nov 25, 19:39

Scroll down to the bottom of this page, find "Glossary." There, if you go to the entry for "Adjust Price"...   second gary on Nov 25, 19:55

TY   gardavou on Nov 25, 20:01

I don't suppose they indicate whether the XMas ones are for just the 3 day weekend? {nm}   Paul2k on Nov 25, 19:08

nope, but good question {nm}   Moviesnob on Nov 25, 19:14

Hobbit is gravely under predicted there.    thatpj on Nov 25, 20:50

Like Avatar's 77 mil? {nm}   PVL Admin on Nov 26, 10:33

Well, I have *seen* KILTS.... {nm}   Facto on Nov 25, 18:20

Shame Pitt wasn't better. Though I did enjoy Ray Liotta. {nm}   He was looting me, ruining me! on Nov 25, 18:32

Pitt was ok, turning in another sociopath character, against JGAND. Saw 7 Psychopaths today, and that was more enjoyable. {nm}   Facto on Nov 26, 16:47





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Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 20000 60.45 (-0.13)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 14.82 (0.00)         The Trial of the Chicago 7 (TCHI7) 100000 22.99 (-6.14)         Naomie Harris (NHARR) 20000 67.60 (0.00)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Bruce Willis (BWILL) 20000 28.20 (-0.08)         Zoe Kazan (ZKAZA) 20000 8.07 (0.00)         Monsters and Men (MONMN) 100000 0.77 (-0.22)         Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 20000 29.16 (0.00)         Onward (ONWRD) 100000 82.04 (+11.74)         Joel Edgerton (JEDGE) 20000 16.67 (-0.22)         John Cusack (JOHNC) 20000 5.04 (-0.08)         Matangi/Maya/M.I.A. (MMMIA) 100000 0.38 (-0.22)         Alan Tudyk (ATUDY) 20000 177.17 (+0.57)         Kingsman: The Great Game (KTSS3) 50000 78.33 (-0.50)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Riley Keough (RKEOU) 20000 33.09 (-0.56)         Hera Hilmar (HHILM) 20000 15.38 (+0.05)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 20000 57.73 (+0.13)         Jeremiah Terminator LeRoy (LEROY) 10000 5.80 (+1.02)         Catherine Hardwicke (CHARD) 20000 38.44 (-0.32)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 99999 1.09 (+0.10)         Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 20000 36.59 (-0.08)         The Trial of the Chicago 7 (TCHI7) 100000 22.99 (-6.14)         Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 20000 13.37 (+0.13)         Viggo Mortensen (VMORT) 20000 8.19 (+0.05)         Omar Sy (OSY) 20000 94.17 (-1.00)         CW: Charmed (CHARMD) 20000 11.54 (-0.03)         Vice - Opening Weekend (CHENY.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         Cuba Gooding Jr. (CGOOD) 20000 40.03 (0.00)         Vice H$10 Call (CHENY.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Vice H$10 Put (CHENY.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Holmes & Watson - Opening Weeken (HLMWT.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Jennifer Morrison (JMORR) 20000 47.46 (-0.26)         Holmes & Watson H$20 Call (HLMWT.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Taron Egerton (TEGER) 20000 76.78 (+0.60)         Holmes & Watson H$20 Put (HLMWT.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Lucas Hedges (LHEDG) 20000 31.95 (-0.25)         The Report (TORTR) 100000 9.70 (+0.04)         Emile Hirsch (EHIRS) 20000 32.86 (-0.08)         Robert Patrick (RPATR) 20000 33.49 (-0.40)         The Possession of Hannah Grace (CADVR) 99999 14.75 (+0.15)         Victoria Justice (VJUST) 20000 4.45 (-0.12)         Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 20000 70.65 (+0.37)         The Mule H$15 Call (TMULE.CA) 20000 3.19 (+0.08)         The Mule - Opening Weekend (TMULE.OW) 100000 16.47 (+0.03)         Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 20000 77.86 (+0.40)         The Silence (TSLNC) 100000 4.97 (-3.09)         The Silence (TSLNC) 100000 4.97 (-3.09)