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Movies

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm}

Posted by: Chimpmuck (a.k.a psisson) on Jul 19, 17:29 in response to arf's post None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 115.52 (-0.13)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 148.16 (+0.67)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 83.26 (+1.23)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 127.61 (+1.33)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 112733 83.26 (+1.23)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 4 26.49 (+2.32)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 1 2.53 (-0.20)          Cory Michael Smith (CMSMI) 25000 4.00 (0.00)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 228.23 (+0.19)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 65168 121.60 (-0.01)          Nico Parker (NIPAR) 25000 93.45 (+0.50)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 184.56 (-0.05)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 149999 63.89 (-0.04)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.10 (+0.03)          Tony (TONY) 10000 17.10 (+0.03)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 14460 148.16 (+0.67)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 52.80 (+0.33)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 80.54 (+0.97)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.13 (-0.10)          One Night Only (ONTON) 1 23.35 (+0.74)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 25000 76.56 (-0.50)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 25.96 (-0.67)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.22)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.35 (+0.74)          Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 25000 59.87 (-13.43)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 566.24 (+9.92)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 29 410.70 (-0.50)          Cory Michael Smith (CMSMI) 25000 4.00 (0.00)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 131.36 (+0.19)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 2 17.50 (+0.50)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 6.21 (+0.56)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 25000 89.90 (+1.84)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 80.54 (+0.97)          Jeffrey Wright (JWRIG) 25000 63.86 (-0.67)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 25000 89.90 (+1.84)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 25000 89.90 (+1.84)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 1 17.50 (+0.50)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 25000 26.49 (+2.32)          Jon Hamm (JHAMM) 25000 59.87 (-13.43)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 131.36 (+0.19)          The Partner (PRTNR) 3313 47.03 (+0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 7 651.03 (+12.03)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 25000 0.50 (-1.70)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 25000 0.50 (-1.70)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 25000 41.60 (+0.69)