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Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm}

Posted by: Chimpmuck (a.k.a psisson) on Jul 19, 17:29 in response to arf's post None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 10000 17.02 (+0.23)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 10000 14.71 (-0.16)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 10000 9.12 (-0.10)          Dock (DOCK) 10000 0.27 (-0.06)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 77 30.00 (0.00)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 5000 32.00 (-0.30)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 5000 32.00 (-0.30)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 10000 47.64 (+0.11)          Single Female (SIFEM) 10000 19.42 (-0.44)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 20000 46.70 (-0.72)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 46.70 (-0.72)          Turpentine (TURPN) 20000 7.03 (-0.37)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.38 (+0.18)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 119.41 (-3.46)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 70000 18.47 (-0.08)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 30.57 (-0.14)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 30.57 (-0.14)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 30000 18.47 (-0.08)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 120000 18.47 (-0.08)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 10000 18.47 (-0.08)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 10000 27.80 (-0.08)          Bunker (BUNKR) 10000 5.92 (-0.07)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 50000 1.54 (-0.04)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 10000 1.54 (-0.04)          The Debut (DEBUT) 10000 9.02 (+0.01)          The Debut (DEBUT) 10000 9.02 (+0.01)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 36.24 (+0.15)          Turpentine (TURPN) 100000 7.03 (-0.37)          Turpentine (TURPN) 50000 7.03 (-0.37)          Turpentine (TURPN) 1 7.03 (-0.37)          Highlander (HIGHL) 75418 36.24 (+0.15)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 74.58 (-0.46)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 74.58 (-0.46)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 16.94 (-0.49)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 16.94 (-0.49)          Hexed (HEXED) 3 105.72 (-0.80)          Hexed (HEXED) 3 105.72 (-0.80)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 94.63 (-2.68)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 94.63 (-2.68)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 97.38 (-3.37)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 97.38 (-3.37)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 169.73 (+0.05)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.33 (+0.19)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.33 (+0.19)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1 25.59 (+0.21)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1 25.59 (+0.21)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 3 23.25 (+0.20)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 3 23.25 (+0.20)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 3 3.81 (+0.34)