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Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm}

Posted by: Chimpmuck (a.k.a psisson) on Jul 19, 17:29 in response to arf's post None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 26000 26.15 (+0.18)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 10304 184.08 (-0.30)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 20000 60.00 (0.00)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 50000 7.89 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 35000 4.76 (-0.10)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.76 (-0.10)          LeBron James (LBJAM) 25000 78.83 (-1.25)          LeBron James (LBJAM) 25000 78.83 (-1.25)          Edgar Ramirez (EDRAM) 25000 48.34 (+1.16)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 26.15 (+0.18)          Edgar Ramirez (EDRAM) 25000 48.34 (+1.16)          Peter Berg (PEBER) 25000 64.16 (+1.25)          Peter Berg (PEBER) 25000 64.16 (+1.25)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 19.12 (-1.94)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 19.12 (-1.94)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 20000 60.00 (0.00)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 63000 19.12 (-1.94)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 16000 145.22 (+4.98)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 18000 18.85 (-1.40)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 58438 18.85 (-1.40)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 29400 92.99 (-2.95)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 3.21 (+0.08)          Lily James (LJAME) 25000 46.88 (-0.16)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 12000 22.58 (-0.69)          Tim Roth (TROTH) 25000 0.75 (+0.05)          Tim Roth (TROTH) 25000 0.75 (+0.05)          Tow (TOW) 150000 2.23 (-0.06)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 24.18 (-0.42)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 216.09 (-2.75)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 30.78 (-0.10)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 223.27 (+0.96)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 22.60 (-0.44)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 24994 113.92 (+0.33)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 216.09 (-2.75)          Christopher Walken (CWALK) 25000 55.83 (-0.16)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 49999 145.22 (+4.98)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 23948 147.92 (+0.97)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 19.12 (-1.94)          Undertone (UNDTN) 1 19.12 (-1.94)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 3 43.77 (+0.85)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 10000 13.85 (-0.54)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 10000 13.85 (-0.54)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 1 24.18 (-0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 24.18 (-0.42)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 19.12 (-1.94)