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We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 19, 17:55 in response to Mala-Droi's post I find their forecasts usually very off target

on occassion like any other site (as Tom mentioned) but let's keep the facts straight here.

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 100 2.53 (+0.03)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 - Openi (STRN5.OW) 100000 4.56 (-0.42)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.36 (+2.02)          Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle a (A6ALDC) 25000 4.15 (-0.76)          All That I Am (ATIAM) 149999 0.02 (-0.03)          Latchkey Kids (LTCHK) 149999 0.03 (-0.01)          How to Make a Killing - Opening (HNGTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 - Opening W (ICOI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 H$20 Put (ICOI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 H$20 Call (ICOI2.CA) 10000 2.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 H$20 Put (ICOI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 5000 65.03 (+2.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 149000 225.27 (-1.79)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 150000 46.90 (-0.87)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 9900 5.57 (-1.84)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.36 (+2.02)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.36 (+2.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 25000 46.49 (+0.06)          I Can Only Imagine 2 H$20 Call (ICOI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 - Opening W (ICOI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Tow (TOW) 20000 3.64 (+1.25)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 53999 242.92 (-0.04)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 149999 234.84 (-0.56)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 100000 18.36 (+2.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 - Openi (STRN5.OW) 100000 4.56 (-0.42)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 9.16 (+0.10)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.41 (-0.20)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 4.71 (+0.68)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 312 31.77 (-0.09)          Hamnet - Adapted Screenplay (A6EHAM) 25000 2.13 (-0.10)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 1.57 (+0.08)          Hamnet - Adapted Screenplay (A6EHAM) 25000 2.13 (-0.10)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 351.91 (+0.34)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 73.45 (-0.26)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 150000 5.57 (-1.84)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 15.61 (-2.28)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 238.05 (+0.51)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 101 307.17 (-0.37)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.36 (+2.02)          F1 - Picture (A6PF1) 25000 0.20 (-0.02)          F1 - Picture (A6PF1) 25000 0.20 (-0.02)          How to Make a Killing - Opening (HNGTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 1 5.57 (-1.84)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Pretty Lethal aka Ballerina Over (BALOD) 150000 5.57 (-1.84)          I Can Only Imagine 2 H$20 Put (ICOI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)