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where do you post your numbers? {nm}

Posted by: RazorHawk on Jul 20, 09:13 in response to doitdoitdoitnow's post May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 16.27 (+1.11)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 50000 4.58 (+0.05)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.28 (+0.52)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1941 257.88 (-1.62)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 31677 1.98 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 110.78 (+2.98)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 5000 75.77 (-3.96)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 110.78 (+2.98)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 4222 21.11 (+0.80)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 5000 110.78 (+2.98)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 50000 24.80 (+0.65)          Monopoly (MONOP) 11000 12.33 (+0.85)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 5.79 (+0.06)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 16000 5.19 (+1.48)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 24054 4.34 (+0.49)          Rawson Marshall Thurber (RMTHU) 25000 90.57 (-0.50)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.19 (+1.48)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 6.24 (+0.02)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 30000 33.05 (+0.06)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 75.77 (-3.96)          Lily Sullivan (LSULL) 25000 27.99 (-0.25)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 75.77 (-3.96)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Lily Sullivan (LSULL) 25000 27.99 (-0.25)          La Grazia (GRAZI) 150000 0.46 (-0.03)          Frontier Crucible (FCRUC) 150000 0.29 (-0.01)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.19 (+1.48)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 4611 14.77 (-2.10)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 1500 105.86 (-0.01)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 150000 0.54 (-0.03)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 2000 105.86 (-0.01)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 25000 6.00 (+0.03)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 150000 4.34 (+0.49)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 5000 105.86 (-0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.71 (-0.29)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.47 (+0.06)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)