HSX Forum

Movies

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm}

Posted by: arf on Jul 19, 23:12 in response to ShawnMR's post We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.OW) 16000 11.91 (-0.04)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 5.25 (-0.02)          Normal (NORML) 150000 8.08 (-0.09)          Paul McCartney: Man on the Run (MORUN) 150000 0.59 (-0.06)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 16.34 (-1.27)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 2 247.50 (+0.17)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.63 (+0.05)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.63 (+0.05)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 25000 13.88 (+0.14)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 12000 87.17 (+0.02)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 0.73 (-0.02)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Normal (NORML) 150000 8.08 (-0.09)          Paul McCartney: Man on the Run (MORUN) 150000 0.59 (-0.06)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Blades of the Guardians (BOTGS) 150000 1.63 (+0.05)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Juliette Lewis (JLEWI) 2000 17.00 (-0.18)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 3400 8.53 (-0.01)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 22.34 (+0.07)          Them (THEM) 37500 40.73 (+1.09)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 3.73 (-0.27)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.73 (+1.09)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 100000 14.19 (+0.85)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 16.34 (-1.27)          Hokum (HOKUM) 40000 17.79 (-0.05)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.85 (-0.37)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 45408 363.22 (-0.28)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 45408 363.22 (-0.28)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 1200 318.89 (-0.35)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1000 58.72 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 45408 363.22 (-0.28)          White Elephant (WELEP) 40000 16.34 (-1.27)          Them (THEM) 2000 40.73 (+1.09)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 1044 8.88 (0.00)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 17000 75.22 (+0.11)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 145407 363.22 (-0.28)          Tony (TONY) 150000 16.60 (+0.28)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 1 235.95 (+0.22)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 25000 30.23 (+0.08)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 196.51 (+0.11)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 150000 83.88 (-0.25)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 113.18 (-0.33)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 197.66 (+1.01)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 30000 15.44 (+0.03)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 10 50.33 (+0.33)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 90000 3.73 (-0.27)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 20 6.18 (+0.55)