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I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm}

Posted by: lobogotti on Jul 19, 19:57 in response to ShawnMR's post We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 10000 17.02 (0.00)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 10000 14.71 (0.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 10000 9.12 (0.00)          Dock (DOCK) 10000 0.27 (0.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 77 30.00 (0.00)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 5000 32.00 (0.00)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 5000 32.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 10000 47.64 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 10000 19.42 (0.00)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 20000 46.70 (0.00)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 46.70 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 20000 7.03 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.38 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 119.41 (0.00)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 70000 18.47 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 30.57 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 30.57 (0.00)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 30000 18.47 (0.00)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 120000 18.47 (0.00)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 10000 18.47 (0.00)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 10000 27.80 (0.00)          Bunker (BUNKR) 10000 5.92 (0.00)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 50000 1.54 (0.00)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 10000 1.54 (0.00)          The Debut (DEBUT) 10000 9.02 (0.00)          The Debut (DEBUT) 10000 9.02 (0.00)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 36.24 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 100000 7.03 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 50000 7.03 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 1 7.03 (0.00)          Highlander (HIGHL) 75418 36.24 (0.00)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 74.58 (0.00)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 74.58 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 16.94 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 2 16.94 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 3 105.72 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 3 105.72 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 94.63 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 94.63 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 97.38 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 97.38 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 169.73 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.33 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.33 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1 25.59 (0.00)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1 25.59 (0.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 3 23.25 (0.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 3 23.25 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 3 3.81 (0.00)