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To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm}

Posted by: benz0 on Jul 20, 10:11 in response to benz0's post Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Stellan Skarsgard (SSKAR) 25000 73.25 (0.00)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 39.00 (0.00)          Stellan Skarsgard (SSKAR) 25000 73.25 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 10000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.15 (-0.38)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.15 (-0.38)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 1 44.16 (-0.05)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 100000 40.57 (+0.07)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 24.42 (+1.87)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 99.40 (-0.25)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.82 (+0.93)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 425.49 (-1.60)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 99.40 (-0.25)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 20.44 (+1.62)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 204.07 (+1.24)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 29091 50.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.32 (+0.47)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.65 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.65 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 52.99 (+0.29)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 52.99 (+0.29)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.32 (+0.47)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 149956 10.19 (-2.40)          Justice (JUSTC) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 11.59 (-0.43)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 11.59 (-0.43)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Perfect (PFECT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 50000 302.49 (-1.00)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 25000 163.45 (+0.50)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 50000 40.57 (+0.07)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 24.42 (+1.87)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 44 10.19 (-2.40)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)