HSX Forum

Movies

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm}

Posted by: benz0 on Jul 20, 10:11 in response to benz0's post Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Dhurandhar (DHURA) 150000 1.16 (-0.02)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 150000 0.55 (-0.02)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 50000 253.18 (0.00)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 1.86 (+0.01)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 226.98 (+0.03)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 20.17 (-0.06)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 3000 30.61 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 6.21 (-0.01)          David (DAVID) 2000 76.33 (-0.35)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.92 (-0.08)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 12500 24.01 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 25000 24.01 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.01 (-1.35)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.01 (-1.35)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.69 (-1.18)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.69 (-1.18)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 150000 111.52 (+0.13)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.92 (-0.08)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 4.90 (-0.03)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 4.90 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.92 (+0.04)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 20000 306.88 (-0.30)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 20000 306.88 (-0.30)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 15.69 (-1.18)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 8.18 (-0.32)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 359.24 (-1.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.75 (-0.98)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 126631 5.76 (+0.03)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.01 (-1.35)          Mercy (MRCY1) 149998 36.54 (-0.81)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 90.70 (+0.05)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 17.74 (-0.33)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 149998 15.69 (-1.18)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.75 (-0.98)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 149998 23.58 (-0.56)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 24.01 (-1.35)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 459.94 (-0.50)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.48 (-0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.48 (-0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.97 (+0.08)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.97 (+0.08)          David (DAVID) 149999 76.33 (-0.35)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.52 (+1.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.75 (-0.98)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.75 (-0.98)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 139434 16.12 (+0.96)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 149998 22.09 (+0.64)