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Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 19, 17:50 in response to Chimpmuck's post Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 1 44.16 (-0.05)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 100000 40.57 (+0.07)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 24.42 (+1.87)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 99.40 (-0.25)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.82 (+0.93)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 425.49 (-1.60)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 99.40 (-0.25)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 20.44 (+1.62)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 204.07 (+1.24)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 29091 50.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.32 (+0.47)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.65 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.65 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 52.99 (+0.29)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 52.99 (+0.29)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.32 (+0.47)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 149956 10.19 (-2.40)          Justice (JUSTC) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 11.59 (-0.43)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 11.59 (-0.43)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 50000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Perfect (PFECT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 50000 302.49 (-1.00)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 25000 163.45 (+0.50)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 50000 40.57 (+0.07)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 24.42 (+1.87)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.97 (+0.86)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 44 10.19 (-2.40)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 100000 10.19 (-2.40)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Dock (DOCK) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 500 112.81 (-0.11)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 50000 6.27 (+0.27)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 390.84 (-0.35)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 110.47 (+0.11)