HSX Forum

Movies

Thank you for that update! {nm}

Posted by: arf on Jul 19, 19:28 in response to ShawnMR's post Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 11.64 (-0.10)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 0.80 (-0.07)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 20000 0.80 (-0.07)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 20000 23.31 (-1.06)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 81.87 (-0.28)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 81.87 (-0.28)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 150000 23.90 (+1.15)          Timothy Spall (TSPAL) 25000 4.30 (+0.09)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 150000 23.90 (+1.15)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 7.81 (+3.86)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 7.81 (+3.86)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 4000 11.05 (-0.02)          Jeff Nichols (JENIC) 25000 12.31 (0.00)          Jaeden Martell (JALIE) 25000 124.96 (-0.07)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 15.76 (+0.09)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 57.17 (0.00)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 64.17 (-0.25)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 58.94 (-0.33)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 58.94 (-0.33)          Jack Quaid (JQUAI) 25000 107.44 (0.00)          Halle Bailey (HBAIL) 25000 98.48 (-0.25)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 150000 161.92 (+0.42)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.31 (-1.06)          Adam Driver (ADRIV) 25000 67.72 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 61392 296.02 (+2.87)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 152.63 (-1.95)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 2000 30.85 (+0.88)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.28 (+0.49)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 25000 9.51 (-0.05)          Shia Labeouf (SLABE) 4000 10.92 (0.00)          Mark Hamill (MHAMI) 25000 100.78 (-0.66)          Ewan McGregor (EMCGR) 25000 90.28 (-0.49)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 42000 11.43 (-1.18)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 2000 296.02 (+2.87)          The Return (TRETU) 10000 7.81 (+3.86)          Ellen Burstyn (EBURS) 25000 12.30 (+0.12)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 11000 87.31 (-1.48)          Shia Labeouf (SLABE) 1000 10.92 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 148.94 (+3.10)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 0.80 (-0.07)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 0.80 (-0.07)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 2000 4.25 (+0.30)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 38000 22.19 (+0.72)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.27 (-0.16)          Common (COMMN) 25000 3.42 (-0.05)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 58000 16.91 (-0.64)