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Thank you for that update! {nm}

Posted by: arf on Jul 19, 19:28 in response to ShawnMR's post Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 90 4.72 (+0.01)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10 97.40 (-3.35)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 100 1.51 (-0.27)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 9.18 (+1.18)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 3.84 (-0.04)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 50000 0.90 (-0.25)          Wicker (WCKER) 50000 22.33 (+0.19)          Clayface (CLAYF) 50000 53.64 (-2.66)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 38852 30.00 (0.00)          Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 13 98.37 (-0.25)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 6.31 (+1.68)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 149999 20.06 (+0.02)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 7.49 (+1.60)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 20000 30.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149000 6.31 (+1.68)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 5.24 (-0.04)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 2.38 (-0.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 16000 245.63 (-0.83)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 150000 11.96 (-0.11)          Stages (STGES) 150000 7.53 (-0.06)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 6.59 (-0.05)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 150000 17.04 (-0.06)          Shout It Out Loud (SHIOL) 150000 12.00 (-0.03)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 10000 201.47 (+0.15)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.31 (-0.29)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 0.83 (-0.04)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 10000 9.55 (-0.12)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 5.42 (-0.04)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 13000 290.82 (+1.04)          Scandalous (SCAND) 150000 5.21 (-0.08)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 15000 201.47 (+0.15)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.42 (0.00)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 28.88 (+0.37)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 0.69 (-0.03)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.61 (-0.12)          Robotech (RTECH) 150000 6.24 (-0.02)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 114000 25.57 (+0.19)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 14.10 (+0.30)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 149999 97.40 (-3.35)          Riverrun (RVRUN) 150000 0.56 (-0.02)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 28.88 (+0.37)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 150000 0.39 (-0.02)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 2.24 (-0.02)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 25000 166.08 (-1.50)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 4.17 (-0.03)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 10.72 (-0.12)          Priscilla: Queen of the Desert 2 (APQD2) 150000 3.00 (-0.02)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 1.35 (0.00)