HSX Forum

Movies

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 19, 17:49 in response to arf's post None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm} doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





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Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 25000 6.00 (+0.03)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 150000 4.34 (+0.49)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 5000 105.86 (-0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.71 (-0.29)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.47 (+0.06)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 20.84 (-0.93)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.06 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.40 (+0.51)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.07 (-2.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.15 (-0.42)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.40 (-0.11)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.71 (-0.52)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.20 (+0.51)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 3.04 (+0.15)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.18)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 5.57 (-0.81)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 202 257.88 (-1.62)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.09 (-1.18)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.28 (-0.22)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.79 (+0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.64 (+1.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 136923 9.06 (-0.94)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.10 (+0.22)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.40 (-0.28)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 123963 5.11 (+1.40)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 4202 257.88 (-1.62)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 27 2.15 (-0.42)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 16.22 (+1.06)          Not Without Hope (NWOHP) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 2.08 (+0.01)          Paul Greengrass (PGREE) 19716 80.22 (-0.44)          Emily Watson (EWATS) 25000 16.54 (-0.30)          Katy O'Brian (KOBRI) 25000 133.53 (+0.66)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 7.85 (-0.13)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 21.11 (+0.80)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.24 (+0.48)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.06 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.40 (+0.51)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.07 (-2.29)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 38.26 (-0.13)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.15 (-0.42)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 76.27 (-3.46)          Archangel (ARCNG) 19999 18.41 (-0.12)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.40 (-0.11)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.20 (+0.51)