HSX Forum

Movies

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge {nm}

Posted by: doitdoitdoitnow on Jul 19, 23:21 in response to ShawnMR's post We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but...

BoxOffice Pro Weekend Forecast: Dunkirk $55 mil, Girls $27.5 mil, Valerian $17.5 mil TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:15

I find their forecasts usually very off target {nm} Mala-Droi Jul 19, 16:29

Can be true of any forecast site. Last weekend was really good, but the previous few were off. {nm} TheTomAsta Jul 19, 16:32

Made up figures based on facebook likes {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:07

None of the movies this weekend are listed in the BOP top 10 facebook, but dunkirk and valer are 1 and 2 in twitter. {nm} arf Jul 19, 17:21

Equally useless info with regard to translating to an OW number {nm} Chimpmuck Jul 19, 17:29

Not if you know how to interpret it. Social media is a hugely useful tool in forecasting (not just for us but other services as well). {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:50

Our automated Facebook tracking is down right now, which is why that chart is blank unfortunately. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:49

Thank you for that update! {nm} arf Jul 19, 19:28

We've scored accuracy results of 81% or higher on all but 3 wide openers in the past month, including 5 at 96% or higher. We have our lulls ShawnMR Jul 19, 17:55

I think you're the best service out there by far for predicting ... you do a ton of due diligence. keep it up. {nm} lobogotti Jul 19, 19:57

7-20-2017 is Judgement Day for your predictions. We'll wee how it goes. :) (I hope yer right) {nm} arf Jul 19, 23:12

May I challenge you to a box office duel? You can use your social media, I'll go with production and distro knowledge doitdoitdoitnow Jul 19, 23:21

where do you post your numbers? {nm} RazorHawk Jul 20, 09:13

Does 81% accuracy mean that Dunkirk could fall between $45-65M and you'd consider yourself "correct"? That's quite a range {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:10

To be fair, I don't know how correct other publications are, so maybe 81% is indeed great comparatively {nm} benz0 Jul 20, 10:11

70-75% accuracy is the norm, and most tracking services fudge - eg they'll say low 20s, or a range of 30-40. {nm} RogerMore Jul 20, 12:08





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 3 48.06 (-0.10)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 75 27.22 (-0.30)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 15 27.22 (-0.30)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 106.29 (+6.16)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 4 61.76 (+0.14)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 4 32.79 (-0.13)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 75 32.97 (-0.13)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 1600 7.62 (-0.02)          Bingbing Fan (FBING) 4 96.62 (-0.25)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 1 15.11 (-0.02)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 1 15.11 (-0.02)          Lewis Tan (LTAN) 4 124.94 (+0.33)          Ruby Rose (RROSE) 6 81.80 (-0.25)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 6 102.48 (0.00)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 4 71.73 (-0.24)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 6 46.16 (-0.16)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 6 68.51 (-0.25)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 6 62.28 (-0.25)          The Musical (MSCAL) 1 0.22 (-0.07)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 5 27.12 (-0.12)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 8 147.22 (-0.66)          Connie Nielsen (CNIEL) 19999 49.10 (-0.13)          Julia Butters (JBUTT) 9 79.00 (-0.49)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 12 40.53 (-0.33)          The Musical (MSCAL) 1 0.22 (-0.07)          The Musical (MSCAL) 1 0.22 (-0.07)          Jaume Collet-Serra (JCSER) 25 78.02 (0.00)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 10 67.29 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.17 (-0.05)          Sophie Thatcher (STHAT) 55 20.12 (0.00)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 2 108.19 (+0.01)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 3 145.94 (+0.33)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 3 98.34 (+0.25)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 3 95.23 (+0.25)          Lewis Tan (LTAN) 3 124.94 (+0.33)          Jack Whitehall (JAWHI) 3 59.61 (+0.16)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 3 122.81 (+0.33)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 3 165.37 (+0.50)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 9.67 (-0.33)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 5 51.17 (+0.16)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 6 177.78 (+1.00)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 6 16.77 (+0.10)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 10 5.58 (+0.05)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 11 153.62 (+1.50)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 10 5.58 (+0.05)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 11 153.62 (+1.50)