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So, the Twitter prediction 'myth' scored another win this weekend.
Don't knock something because you don't understand it. Yes its not perfect, but no model is. But it has proven itself time and time again in the last 9 months.
| Date | Movie | Total Tweets |
Count | Ratio | Open | Pred | Diff | Error | Accuracy |
| 1/8/10 | Daybreakers | 5,130 | 2,523 | 869 | $5.90 | $6.00 | $0.10 | 0.02 | 98.31% |
| 1/8/10 | Leap Year | 1,401 | 2,511 | 423 | $3.32 | $3.75 | $0.44 | 0.13 | 86.88% |
| 1/8/10 | Youth In Revolt | 4,020 | 1,873 | 1,475 | $2.73 | $3.00 | $0.28 | 0.10 | 89.91% |
| 1/15/10 | The Book of Eli | 7,084 | 3,111 | 605 | $11.70 | $8.75 | $2.95 | 0.25 | 74.79% |
| 1/15/10 | The Lovely Bones | 9,715 | 2,563 | 1,697 | $5.73 | $3.50 | $2.23 | 0.39 | 61.14% |
| 1/15/10 | The Spy Next Door | 1,452 | 2,924 | 599 | $2.43 | $3.20 | $0.78 | 0.32 | 68.04% |
| 1/22/10 | Extraordinary Measures | 2,507 | 2,549 | 1,228 | $2.04 | $3.50 | $1.46 | 0.71 | 28.60% |
| 1/22/10 | Legion | 3,890 | 2,476 | 581 | $6.70 | $6.00 | $0.70 | 0.10 | 89.55% |
| 1/22/10 | The Tooth Fairy | 1,720 | 3,344 | 491 | $3.50 | $5.50 | $2.00 | 0.57 | 42.86% |
| 1/29/10 | Edge of Darkness | 4,101 | 3,066 | 725 | $5.66 | $8.50 | $2.85 | 0.50 | 49.69% |
| 1/29/10 | When In Rome | 1,971 | 2,456 | 451 | $4.38 | $3.50 | $0.88 | 0.20 | 80.00% |
| 2/5/10 | Dear John | 12,194 | 2,969 | 884 | $13.80 | $10.00 | $3.80 | 0.28 | 72.46% |
| 2/5/10 | From Paris With Love | 2,983 | 2,722 | 994 | $3.00 | $4.00 | $1.00 | 0.33 | 66.67% |
| 2/12/10 | Percy Jackson and The Olympians | 19,722 | 3,255 | 2,018 | $9.78 | $8.00 | $1.78 | 0.18 | 81.84% |
| 2/12/10 | Valentine's Day | 13,441 | 3,665 | 919 | $14.63 | $11.00 | $3.63 | 0.25 | 75.21% |
| 2/12/10 | The Wolfman | 6,603 | 3,222 | 670 | $9.85 | $7.00 | $2.85 | 0.29 | 71.07% |
| 2/19/10 | Shutter Island | 13,273 | 2,991 | 941 | $14.10 | $12.00 | $2.10 | 0.15 | 85.11% |
| 2/26/10 | Cop Out | 2,815 | 3,150 | 469 | $6.00 | $5.50 | $0.50 | 0.08 | 91.67% |
| 2/26/10 | The Crazies | 5,012 | 2,476 | 849 | $5.90 | $5.50 | $0.40 | 0.07 | 93.22% |
| 3/5/10 | Alice In Wonderland | 83,958 | 3,728 | 2,048 | $41.00 | $30.00 | $11.00 | 0.27 | 73.17% |
| 3/5/10 | Brooklyn's Finest | 5,622 | 1,936 | 1,190 | $4.73 | $4.75 | $0.03 | 0.01 | 99.47% |
| 3/12/10 | Green Zone | 3,250 | 3,003 | 650 | $5.00 | $6.00 | $1.00 | 0.20 | 80.00% |
| 3/12/10 | Our Family Wedding | 2,294 | 1,605 | 918 | $2.50 | $3.00 | $0.50 | 0.20 | 80.00% |
| 3/12/10 | Remember Me | 11,022 | 2,212 | 3,062 | $3.60 | $5.50 | $1.90 | 0.53 | 47.22% |
| 3/12/10 | She's Out of My League | 2,695 | 2,956 | 817 | $3.30 | $3.75 | $0.45 | 0.14 | 86.36% |
| 3/19/10 | Diary of a Wimpy Kid | 1,859 | 3,077 | 251 | $7.40 | $3.90 | $3.50 | 0.47 | 52.70% |
| 3/19/10 | Repo Men | 3,092 | 2,521 | 1,405 | $2.20 | $2.70 | $0.50 | 0.23 | 77.27% |
| 3/19/10 | The Bounty Hunter | 3,101 | 3,074 | 405 | $7.65 | $9.00 | $1.35 | 0.18 | 82.35% |
| 3/26/10 | Hot Tub Time Machine | 8,122 | 2,754 | 1,785 | $4.55 | $6.00 | $1.45 | 0.32 | 68.13% |
| 3/26/10 | How to Train Your Dragon | 6,999 | 4,055 | 574 | $12.20 | $12.75 | $0.55 | 0.05 | 95.49% |
| 3/31/10 | The Last Song | 20,325 | 2,673 | 2,863 | $5.10 | $4.00 | $1.10 | 0.22 | 78.43% |
| 4/2/10 | Clash of the Titans | 23,922 | 3,777 | 824 | $29.02 | $28.75 | $0.27 | 0.01 | 99.09% |
| 4/2/10 | Why Did I Get Married Too | 5,925 | 2,155 | 480 | $12.35 | $8.50 | $3.85 | 0.31 | 68.83% |
| 4/9/10 | Date Night | 4,449 | 3,374 | 478 | $9.30 | $11.00 | $1.70 | 0.18 | 81.72% |
| 4/16/10 | Death At A Funeral | 4,966 | 2,459 | 887 | $5.60 | $8.00 | $2.40 | 0.43 | 57.14% |
| 4/16/10 | Kick Ass | 10,791 | 3,065 | 1,420 | $7.60 | $9.50 | $1.90 | 0.25 | 75.00% |
| 4/23/10 | Oceans | 4,643 | 1,206 | 2,322 | $2.50 | $3.00 | $0.50 | 0.20 | 80.00% |
| 4/23/10 | The Back-Up Plan | 5,046 | 3,280 | 1,201 | $4.20 | $4.15 | $0.05 | 0.01 | 98.81% |
| 4/23/10 | The Losers | 2,338 | 2,936 | 731 | $3.00 | $4.60 | $1.60 | 0.53 | 46.67% |
| 4/30/10 | A Nightmare on Elm Street (2010) | 15,843 | 3,332 | 1,003 | $15.80 | $16.00 | $0.20 | 0.01 | 98.73% |
| 4/30/10 | Furry Vengeance | 1,580 | 2,997 | 929 | $1.70 | $2.40 | $0.70 | 0.41 | 58.82% |
| 5/07/10 | Iron Man 2 | 97,351 | 4,380 | 1,858 | $52.40 | $63.00 | $10.60 | 0.20 | 79.77% |
| 5/14/10 | Just Wright | 4,849 | 1,831 | 1,701 | $2.85 | $3.35 | $0.50 | 0.18 | 82.46% |
| 5/14/10 | Letters To Juliet | 4,344 | 2,968 | 869 | $5.00 | $6.00 | $1.00 | 0.20 | 80.00% |
| 5/14/10 | Robin Hood | 11,697 | 3,503 | 890 | $13.15 | $12.25 | $0.90 | 0.07 | 93.16% |
| 5/21/10 | MacGruber | 5,878 | 2,551 | 3,674 | $1.60 | $3.75 | $2.15 | 1.34 | 0.00% |
| 5/21/10 | Shrek Forever After | 10,069 | 4,359 | 485 | $20.75 | $28.00 | $7.25 | 0.35 | 65.06% |
| 5/27/10 | Sex and the City 2 | 57,195 | 3,445 | 4,400 | $14.20 | $20.00 | $5.80 | 0.41 | 59.15% |
| 5/28/10 | Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time | 46,968 | 3,646 | 4,605 | $10.20 | $13.00 | $2.80 | 0.27 | 72.55% |
| 6/04/10 | Get Him to the Greek | 7,545 | 2,696 | 1,198 | $6.30 | $7.00 | $0.70 | 0.11 | 88.89% |
| 6/04/10 | Killers | 4,288 | 2,859 | 766 | $5.60 | $5.00 | $0.60 | 0.11 | 89.29% |
| 6/04/10 | Marmaduke | 1,229 | 3,213 | 361 | $3.40 | $3.50 | $0.10 | 0.03 | 97.06% |
| 6/04/10 | Splice | 3,941 | 2,450 | 1,460 | $2.70 | $4.00 | $1.30 | 0.48 | 51.85% |
| Ave: | 74.56% |
So, the Twitter prediction 'myth' scored another win this weekend. Jun 06, 12:01
Not bad at all. Thanks for your time in compiling the info. {nm} Jun 06, 12:04
Impressive average but I still don't understand what it's counting. {nm} Jun 06, 12:43
Trade secrets, I bet :) {nm} Jun 06, 13:36
It's explained pretty well on the site. {nm} Jun 06, 15:51
Sure, here's a bit more info. Jun 06, 18:50
Helpful. You're certainly putting a lot of work into it. {nm} Jun 07, 04:10
Since this is probably aimed at me, I'll give you a couple of good replies Jun 06, 14:20
If 74% is a D+, there isn't a box office predictor who does better than a C- {nm} Jun 06, 14:37
And that's fine Jun 06, 15:07
Shaped and moulded? Jun 06, 18:33
Fine I'll bite Jun 06, 18:30
Not crying and actually holding back Jun 06, 20:12
Its called math... Jun 06, 20:37
Soooo wanted to let this go, but I really hate ignorance Jun 06, 23:56
Interesting Jun 07, 07:42
Insanely low number of tweets for Marmaduke.. Lowest of them all, from what I can see {nm} Jun 06, 15:43
But that was a movie not meant for people who would use Twitter. Jun 06, 15:54
Probably :-) {nm} Jun 06, 16:21
Some of the worst accuracy was for terrible movies. I assume that's from people warning others to stay away. {nm} Jun 07, 08:37
