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Fine I'll bite
Not really sure even where to start. But yes I'll bite since you do bring up a couple valid queries and clear misunderstanding of most things.
1. My predictions are posted Thursday morning (just like many prediction sites). I'm not a Monday morning quarterback. Every single one of the numbers posted in my original post were given to the public before the film opened. My accuracy is calculated the exact same as for the other prediction sites I posted here.
2. The point of Twitter is not that it is a representative sample but that it is a consistent sample. Its just like other polling methods whether they be Mojo Polls or Studio run polls. The idea is that you use the numbers of historic films and go from there. Yes it skew all those things, however, all demographics are represented on Twitter (except the really young and really old) and they offer a consistent sample. Whether it be for Marmaduke or Death At A Funeral.
3. All BS, see above.
4. You obviously haven't read my previous posts. Trending means little. It merely shows words/terms with the greatest increase in percentage of activity over a certain magic window of time. Just because something is trending doesn't mean it is doing better than something which isn't. Movie A does 20,000 tweets one day and 21,000 the next day and won't be trending. Movie B does 1,00 one day and 10,000 the next and will be trending. Trending doesn't mean squat in terms of totals.
5. Where do you get 2 million tweets from? Its actually more. But that's besides the point. I assure you my data is rock solid, backed by patents and people a lot smarter than me or you.
6. Its a sample. That is a consistent weekly sample. Do you think RS or MTC or any other tracking service talks to even 5,000 people a week about their choice of movies?
I have been proving it for 9 months. I'm not a flash in the pan, I write 6 columns a week on Twitter and trends/predictions for that entire span. I dare say there are very very few people around who can say that. Read and do a little research before crying down something you know so little about.
So, the Twitter prediction 'myth' scored another win this weekend. Jun 06, 12:01
Not bad at all. Thanks for your time in compiling the info. {nm} Jun 06, 12:04
Impressive average but I still don't understand what it's counting. {nm} Jun 06, 12:43
Trade secrets, I bet :) {nm} Jun 06, 13:36
It's explained pretty well on the site. {nm} Jun 06, 15:51
Sure, here's a bit more info. Jun 06, 18:50
Helpful. You're certainly putting a lot of work into it. {nm} Jun 07, 04:10
Since this is probably aimed at me, I'll give you a couple of good replies Jun 06, 14:20
If 74% is a D+, there isn't a box office predictor who does better than a C- {nm} Jun 06, 14:37
And that's fine Jun 06, 15:07
Shaped and moulded? Jun 06, 18:33
Fine I'll bite Jun 06, 18:30
Not crying and actually holding back Jun 06, 20:12
Its called math... Jun 06, 20:37
Soooo wanted to let this go, but I really hate ignorance Jun 06, 23:56
Interesting Jun 07, 07:42
Insanely low number of tweets for Marmaduke.. Lowest of them all, from what I can see {nm} Jun 06, 15:43
But that was a movie not meant for people who would use Twitter. Jun 06, 15:54
Probably :-) {nm} Jun 06, 16:21
Some of the worst accuracy was for terrible movies. I assume that's from people warning others to stay away. {nm} Jun 07, 08:37
