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Maybe not 50%, but I'm just saying 45% is just as likely as 25%. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jul 26, 15:46 in response to Vashta Nerada's post In chat the night before last I was asked for a delist...

Delist estimates for Inception for a few different scenarios inside (It's a long, maybe a really big one). lukesed Jul 26, 14:02

What about 40% 45% 50%? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 14:12

That seems really pessimistic to me (24.2% drop from sat>sat!), but here goes: 40% - 220M; 45% - 212M; 50% - 203. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 14:58

You pick the most optimistic. The whole weekend was down 32%. 3rd and 4th weekend tend to go down, not up. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:08

Actually film normally holds better on the 3rd weekend and after, until it starts losing screens xiayun Jul 26, 15:39

Looking at similar WOM blockbuster hits, Pirates, Matrix and Sixth Sense dropped off further in its third weekend. Antibody Jul 26, 15:45

Pirates and Matrix had a lower 2nd weekend drop because of midweek openings. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:53

In chat the night before last I was asked for a delist number. I said I'd prefer to have the Monday number but without that it's pretty much Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:43

Maybe not 50%, but I'm just saying 45% is just as likely as 25%. Antibody Jul 26, 15:46

Let me I revise that to 40%. 32% - his 25% = 8% difference. 32% + 8% difference = 40% that was left out. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:28

Off the top of my head for 50% $202 looking at the other numbers call it 212 and 222. Or you could do i off his first numbers and get 219, Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:14

I'm pointing out that his biased optimism by discounting equally valid scenarios. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:20

I'm saying he showed the math if people want to disagree they can punch in their numbers. It takes less then a minute with a calculator. Tho Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:51

I'm saying he left out 40% etc from his post. Did I say his math was wrong? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:53

He doidn't leave anything out of his post. those that disagree can post their own numbers. Where were you a couple of days ago when a Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:51

Note to new traders on my note to new traders Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:59

Geez, stop hijacking this thread. I'm off on Saturday. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:06

You know you could have avoided all this if you had spent 3 minutes with a calculator and posted what you asked for. It's not the numbers Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 17:44

The Dark Knight is not a good comparison because it's a sequel with built-in audience and was the biggest opener of all times. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:14

Is it really biased to provide round numbers above and below the only existing data? {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:50





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Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.35 (+0.03)          Andra Day (ADAY) 25000 53.18 (+0.65)          Andra Day (ADAY) 25000 53.18 (+0.65)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 118.29 (-0.35)          Jennifer Jason Leigh (JJLEI) 25000 10.33 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.29 (+1.62)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.29 (+1.62)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.41 (+0.26)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.41 (+0.26)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.03 (-1.12)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 500 313.23 (+1.25)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.03 (-1.12)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 59.66 (+1.40)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 59.66 (+1.40)          Barry Keoghan (BKEOG) 25000 8.47 (0.00)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 16.51 (+0.19)          Shiver (SHVER) 149899 63.03 (-1.12)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 70 22.68 (0.00)          Power Rangers (PWRNG) 10 2.30 (+0.02)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.03 (-1.12)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 4 29.39 (+0.01)          Outcome (OUTCM) 344 5.88 (-3.98)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 4 54.07 (+0.01)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 4 2.96 (-0.01)          Jacob Elordi (JELOR) 25000 9.41 (+0.05)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 1150 4.79 (+1.01)          Hong Chau (HCHAU) 25000 25.54 (+0.25)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 103.56 (+0.83)          Mercy (MRCY1) 131896 22.51 (+0.46)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 103.56 (+0.83)          Shazad Latif (SLATI) 25000 17.31 (+0.20)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 190 10.90 (+0.03)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 12.86 (+1.27)          Gabrielle Union (GUNIO) 25000 19.04 (+0.20)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 12.86 (+1.27)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 54.41 (-0.59)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 1500 1.10 (-0.02)          Jacob Elordi (JELOR) 25000 9.41 (+0.05)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 4 4.01 (-0.01)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 29 235.47 (-0.90)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.17 (-1.09)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 25000 110.63 (+0.66)          Home (HOME1) 4 12.25 (+0.01)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.17 (-1.09)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 4 79.20 (-0.19)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 120.44 (+13.19)          Scandalous (SCAND) 350 6.56 (-0.01)