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I'm saying he showed the math if people want to disagree they can punch in their numbers. It takes less then a minute with a calculator. Tho

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on Jul 26, 15:51 in response to Antibody's post I'm pointing out that his biased optimism by discounting...

Those that disagree can post and show their math.

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Delist estimates for Inception for a few different scenarios inside (It's a long, maybe a really big one). lukesed Jul 26, 14:02

What about 40% 45% 50%? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 14:12

That seems really pessimistic to me (24.2% drop from sat>sat!), but here goes: 40% - 220M; 45% - 212M; 50% - 203. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 14:58

You pick the most optimistic. The whole weekend was down 32%. 3rd and 4th weekend tend to go down, not up. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:08

Actually film normally holds better on the 3rd weekend and after, until it starts losing screens xiayun Jul 26, 15:39

Looking at similar WOM blockbuster hits, Pirates, Matrix and Sixth Sense dropped off further in its third weekend. Antibody Jul 26, 15:45

Pirates and Matrix had a lower 2nd weekend drop because of midweek openings. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:53

In chat the night before last I was asked for a delist number. I said I'd prefer to have the Monday number but without that it's pretty much Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:43

Maybe not 50%, but I'm just saying 45% is just as likely as 25%. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:46

Let me I revise that to 40%. 32% - his 25% = 8% difference. 32% + 8% difference = 40% that was left out. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:28

Off the top of my head for 50% $202 looking at the other numbers call it 212 and 222. Or you could do i off his first numbers and get 219, Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:14

I'm pointing out that his biased optimism by discounting equally valid scenarios. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:20

I'm saying he showed the math if people want to disagree they can punch in their numbers. It takes less then a minute with a calculator. Tho Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:51

I'm saying he left out 40% etc from his post. Did I say his math was wrong? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:53

He doidn't leave anything out of his post. those that disagree can post their own numbers. Where were you a couple of days ago when a Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:51

Note to new traders on my note to new traders Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:59

Geez, stop hijacking this thread. I'm off on Saturday. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:06

You know you could have avoided all this if you had spent 3 minutes with a calculator and posted what you asked for. It's not the numbers Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 17:44

The Dark Knight is not a good comparison because it's a sequel with built-in audience and was the biggest opener of all times. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:14

Is it really biased to provide round numbers above and below the only existing data? {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:50





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Mortal Kombat II H$40 Put (MKMB2.PU) 25000 1.32 (-0.04)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 3 74.91 (+0.48)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 12 292.14 (+0.61)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.86 (+0.34)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 15 305.10 (+0.75)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 45.48 (+0.70)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 2 87.88 (+0.83)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 24 13.63 (+1.53)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 2 7.36 (+0.73)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.36 (+0.73)          The Catch (TCATC) 21 57.86 (+3.87)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 10000 115.07 (-0.55)          Richard Roxburgh (RROXB) 25000 44.81 (+0.50)          Richard Roxburgh (RROXB) 25000 44.81 (+0.50)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 150000 3.23 (+0.05)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.97 (+2.03)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 1 33.47 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 20000 40.12 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 150000 43.24 (+3.24)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.63 (+1.53)          Kathryn Newton (KNEWT) 25000 63.55 (+0.75)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.51 (+1.03)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.34 (+0.61)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 46.99 (-1.83)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 46.99 (-1.83)          High Side (HISID) 149999 26.81 (+0.05)          Dakota Johnson (DJOHN) 25000 19.11 (+0.60)          Justice Smith (JUSMI) 24999 79.87 (+0.01)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 50000 52.04 (+0.15)          Tony (TONY) 3594 14.97 (+2.03)          Justin Lin (JLIN) 25000 158.11 (+1.50)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 20000 46.99 (-1.83)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.97 (-0.13)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 563 325.70 (-0.24)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 25000 102.21 (-0.66)          Possession (PSESN) 60000 31.17 (+0.03)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 57.86 (+3.87)          Them (THEM) 150000 43.24 (+3.24)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 25000 226.44 (-0.50)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 33433 23.93 (-0.07)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 1 2.98 (+0.02)          Tony (TONY) 146406 14.97 (+2.03)          Them (THEM) 150000 43.24 (+3.24)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 1000 80.98 (+0.51)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 149999 12.36 (+0.07)          After This Death (AFTDH) 500 0.26 (-0.02)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 2000 4.50 (-0.38)          Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 2.26 (-0.02)