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Geez, stop hijacking this thread. I'm off on Saturday. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Jul 26, 17:06 in response to Vashta Nerada's post He doidn't leave anything out of his post. those that...

Delist estimates for Inception for a few different scenarios inside (It's a long, maybe a really big one). lukesed Jul 26, 14:02

What about 40% 45% 50%? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 14:12

That seems really pessimistic to me (24.2% drop from sat>sat!), but here goes: 40% - 220M; 45% - 212M; 50% - 203. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 14:58

You pick the most optimistic. The whole weekend was down 32%. 3rd and 4th weekend tend to go down, not up. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:08

Actually film normally holds better on the 3rd weekend and after, until it starts losing screens xiayun Jul 26, 15:39

Looking at similar WOM blockbuster hits, Pirates, Matrix and Sixth Sense dropped off further in its third weekend. Antibody Jul 26, 15:45

Pirates and Matrix had a lower 2nd weekend drop because of midweek openings. {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:53

In chat the night before last I was asked for a delist number. I said I'd prefer to have the Monday number but without that it's pretty much Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:43

Maybe not 50%, but I'm just saying 45% is just as likely as 25%. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:46

Let me I revise that to 40%. 32% - his 25% = 8% difference. 32% + 8% difference = 40% that was left out. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:28

Off the top of my head for 50% $202 looking at the other numbers call it 212 and 222. Or you could do i off his first numbers and get 219, Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:14

I'm pointing out that his biased optimism by discounting equally valid scenarios. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:20

I'm saying he showed the math if people want to disagree they can punch in their numbers. It takes less then a minute with a calculator. Tho Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 15:51

I'm saying he left out 40% etc from his post. Did I say his math was wrong? {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 15:53

He doidn't leave anything out of his post. those that disagree can post their own numbers. Where were you a couple of days ago when a Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:51

Note to new traders on my note to new traders Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 16:59

Geez, stop hijacking this thread. I'm off on Saturday. Antibody Jul 26, 17:06

You know you could have avoided all this if you had spent 3 minutes with a calculator and posted what you asked for. It's not the numbers Vashta Nerada Jul 26, 17:44

The Dark Knight is not a good comparison because it's a sequel with built-in audience and was the biggest opener of all times. {nm} Antibody Jul 26, 17:14

Is it really biased to provide round numbers above and below the only existing data? {nm} lukesed Jul 26, 18:50





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Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.92 (+1.92)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.92 (+1.92)          Verity (VERTY) 49557 51.33 (-0.10)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 45000 106.06 (+1.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 10000 29.27 (-0.42)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 45000 118.00 (+1.04)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 63.95 (+1.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 7000 6.63 (-0.20)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 118.00 (+1.04)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 47563 28.60 (+1.09)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 45000 21.73 (-0.60)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.92 (+1.92)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 10000 40.90 (+0.84)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 10000 100.37 (+0.57)          Digger (DIGER) 10000 132.41 (-0.15)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 20.33 (-0.04)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 90.72 (+0.60)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 90.72 (+0.60)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 38.07 (0.00)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 38.07 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 150000 29.23 (-0.30)          The Riders (RIDER) 150000 29.23 (-0.30)          Subversion (SUBVS) 150000 20.54 (-0.04)          Subversion (SUBVS) 150000 20.54 (-0.04)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 20.33 (-0.04)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.08 (-0.06)          Ma 2 (MA2) 150000 14.37 (-0.04)          Ma 2 (MA2) 150000 14.37 (-0.04)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.49 (-0.05)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.05 (+0.12)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 8.34 (-0.03)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 8.34 (-0.03)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 150000 6.39 (-0.10)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 150000 6.39 (-0.10)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 4.42 (+0.04)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 4.42 (+0.04)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 4.39 (-0.02)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 150000 3.21 (0.00)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 150000 3.21 (0.00)          Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 150000 0.20 (0.00)          Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 150000 0.20 (0.00)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Gareth Edwards (GEDWA) 25000 152.84 (0.00)          Edgar Wright (EWRIG) 25000 36.98 (0.00)          Gareth Edwards (GEDWA) 25000 152.84 (0.00)          Jake Kasdan (JKASD) 25000 141.57 (0.00)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 102.62 (+0.66)