Delist estimates for Inception for a few different scenarios inside (It's a long, maybe a really big one). Jul 26, 14:02
What about 40% 45% 50%? {nm} Jul 26, 14:12
That seems really pessimistic to me (24.2% drop from sat>sat!), but here goes: 40% - 220M; 45% - 212M; 50% - 203. {nm} Jul 26, 14:58
You pick the most optimistic. The whole weekend was down 32%. 3rd and 4th weekend tend to go down, not up. {nm} Jul 26, 15:08
Actually film normally holds better on the 3rd weekend and after, until it starts losing screens Jul 26, 15:39
Looking at similar WOM blockbuster hits, Pirates, Matrix and Sixth Sense dropped off further in its third weekend. Jul 26, 15:45
Pirates and Matrix had a lower 2nd weekend drop because of midweek openings. {nm} Jul 26, 18:53
Maybe not 50%, but I'm just saying 45% is just as likely as 25%. {nm} Jul 26, 15:46
Let me I revise that to 40%. 32% - his 25% = 8% difference. 32% + 8% difference = 40% that was left out. {nm} Jul 26, 17:28
I'm pointing out that his biased optimism by discounting equally valid scenarios. {nm} Jul 26, 15:20
I'm saying he left out 40% etc from his post. Did I say his math was wrong? {nm} Jul 26, 15:53
Note to new traders on my note to new traders Jul 26, 16:59
Geez, stop hijacking this thread. I'm off on Saturday. {nm} Jul 26, 17:06
Is it really biased to provide round numbers above and below the only existing data? Jul 26, 18:50