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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Dec 27, 09:31

If STAR7 were to match AVATR to delist, then it would delist at roughly H$762, i.e., the Sunday cume of 544 + 212 (the last 14 days of AVATR's HSX release phase).  There is the *slight* complicating factor that the second weekend of STAR7 looks to be about twice the second weeknd of AVATR.  :)

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 20000 20.50 (-0.72)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 150000 90.91 (-1.51)          Freakier Friday (FREK2) 150000 90.91 (-1.51)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.10 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 149999 24.58 (-0.02)          Superman (SUPRM) 25001 252.43 (-1.04)          Tangled (TANGL) 20000 100.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 149999 28.91 (+2.04)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 149998 28.91 (+2.04)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 149999 41.60 (-0.20)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 75000 25.41 (-1.07)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 23.59 (-0.02)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 28.91 (+2.04)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 76000 35.50 (+0.88)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 71683 167.52 (-7.12)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 179 32.80 (-0.32)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 150000 0.87 (+0.02)          Clika (CLIKA) 150000 13.82 (+0.82)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 15 58.02 (0.00)          Friendship (FNSHP) 150000 9.68 (+0.07)          The Surfer (SURFR) 150000 8.27 (+0.08)          Nickels (NCKEL) 150000 2.96 (+0.01)          Brittany Snow (BSNOW) 1000 69.96 (+0.01)          King (KING) 150000 5.92 (+0.03)          The Surfer (SURFR) 150000 8.27 (+0.08)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 300 23.55 (-0.02)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 7.98 (+0.03)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 235.88 (-0.83)          Sarah's Oil (SAOIL) 150000 24.61 (+0.09)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 260.61 (+1.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 150000 128.89 (+0.54)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 150000 171.04 (-0.12)          The Odyssey aka Untitled Christo (ODYSE) 150000 201.77 (+0.76)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 281.99 (+0.22)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 299.70 (+1.75)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 150000 396.85 (+0.22)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 49 167.52 (-7.12)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 217.90 (+1.16)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 2.81 (0.00)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 150000 2.49 (+0.03)          Reykjavik (REYKJ) 150000 2.67 (+0.02)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 150000 2.66 (0.00)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 2.09 (-0.02)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 0.23 (+0.02)          Armand (ARMAN) 150000 0.44 (0.00)          Lucca Mortis (LUCAM) 150000 0.29 (+0.02)          Grand Theft Hamlet (GTHAM) 150000 0.11 (0.00)          Brides (BRIDS) 150000 5.64 (-0.94)