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I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm}

Posted by: Filmstardust on Dec 27, 12:52 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 10000 3.68 (-0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5000 446.12 (-2.57)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 10000 3.68 (-0.01)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 221.51 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 446.12 (-2.57)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 719 167.25 (+1.55)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 446.12 (-2.57)          Shell (SHELL) 150000 0.47 (-0.38)          Coyotes (COYOT) 150000 0.68 (-0.30)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 5.00 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 20.08 (-0.18)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 150000 36.27 (+0.40)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 86.40 (+0.07)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 99.18 (+0.01)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 2500 10.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 87718 167.25 (+1.55)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 474.49 (+0.03)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 149999 221.51 (+0.58)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.98 (-1.56)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 50000 22.98 (-1.56)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.41 (-5.71)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.41 (-5.71)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 149999 446.12 (-2.57)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.51 (-1.88)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.51 (-1.88)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.47 (-0.31)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.28 (-0.30)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.28 (-0.30)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.28 (-0.30)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.92 (-0.08)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 39631 166.36 (+0.64)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.52 (-0.84)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 2 14.88 (-1.32)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 14.88 (-1.32)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.64 (-0.90)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 446.12 (-2.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 446.12 (-2.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 30.97 (-1.17)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 30.97 (-1.17)          David (DAVID) 150000 76.63 (-0.95)