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I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm}

Posted by: Filmstardust on Dec 27, 12:52 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 9.13 (-0.30)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 9.13 (-0.30)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 100000 13.30 (+1.20)          Ibelin (IBELN) 100000 6.45 (-0.39)          April X (APRLX) 64000 2.00 (0.00)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 10000 3.47 (-0.01)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 149001 47.90 (-0.95)          Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 25000 53.12 (-0.66)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 50000 6.42 (-0.03)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 26000 24.75 (+0.75)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 55.63 (+0.31)          Ibelin (IBELN) 49999 6.45 (-0.39)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 49999 13.30 (+1.20)          The Catch (TCATC) 10000 58.70 (+4.71)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 1 71.53 (-0.59)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 1000 198.62 (-7.48)          Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 25000 53.12 (-0.66)          Alpha (ALPH) 122000 0.17 (-0.01)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1000 18.00 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 24.75 (+0.75)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 60000 0.77 (+0.02)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.35 (+0.62)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 2000 21.60 (+0.03)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 4338 56.53 (-0.15)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 88.74 (-0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 58.70 (+4.71)          The Catch (TCATC) 15000 58.70 (+4.71)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 50000 13.30 (+1.20)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 15 11.83 (+0.54)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 50000 7.62 (+0.99)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 52.89 (+0.80)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 50000 2.35 (+0.62)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 50000 2.35 (+0.62)          LeBron James (LBJAM) 8 79.08 (-0.75)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 50000 2.35 (+0.62)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 50000 2.35 (+0.62)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 50000 2.35 (+0.62)