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I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm}

Posted by: Filmstardust on Dec 27, 12:52 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 50000 43.64 (+0.87)          Brides (BRIDS) 4000 6.49 (-0.63)          Auli'i Cravalho (ACRAV) 8500 172.80 (+0.33)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 600 164.71 (-0.84)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 14999 25.69 (+4.70)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 5000 205.96 (-0.72)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 3000 205.96 (-0.72)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 5000 111.67 (-0.67)          Drop (DROP) 1200 27.69 (-0.96)          Drop (DROP) 1200 27.69 (-0.96)          Drop (DROP) 30000 27.69 (-0.96)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 118.01 (+0.12)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 12000 75.83 (-0.95)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 11000 75.83 (-0.95)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 25.69 (+4.70)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 6800 90.67 (-1.18)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 9000 16.15 (-0.71)          By All (BYALL) 149210 2.97 (+0.01)          Morgan Freeman (MFREE) 25000 22.45 (+0.13)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 1000 184.25 (-1.82)          The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 149997 0.71 (-0.02)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 8000 42.74 (-1.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 39547 25.69 (+4.70)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 149953 0.02 (+0.01)          Keeper (KEEPR) 600 23.76 (+0.40)          Keeper (KEEPR) 1000 23.76 (+0.40)          Keeper (KEEPR) 2000 23.76 (+0.40)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 6000 15.42 (-0.02)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 10000 282.87 (-0.51)          Ed Harris (EHARR) 25000 55.39 (-0.83)          The Wrong Girl (TWRNG) 2000 12.70 (+0.53)          The Life of Chuck (LCHUC) 25000 18.75 (+0.06)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 2600 15.34 (+0.70)          Taylour Paige (TPAIG) 25000 6.20 (-0.10)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 2000 15.34 (+0.70)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 6000 17.08 (+0.79)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 1000 20.20 (+0.86)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 5000 20.20 (+0.86)          Clika (CLIKA) 150000 12.00 (0.00)          Xolo Mariduena (XMARI) 25000 40.00 (0.00)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 150000 43.64 (+0.87)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 149999 43.64 (+0.87)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 7.94 (-0.10)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 4064 21.85 (-5.33)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 7.94 (-0.10)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 25.69 (+4.70)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 21.85 (-5.33)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 17000 71.91 (-1.24)          The Electric State (ELCST) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 10000 71.91 (-1.24)