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I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm}

Posted by: Filmstardust on Dec 27, 12:52 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The Climb (CLIMB) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          Lucca Mortis (LUCAM) 150000 0.08 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 140000 90.25 (-0.15)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 80000 90.25 (-0.15)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 150000 0.02 (-0.15)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.11 (-0.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.11 (-0.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.11 (-0.86)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Call (SSBLU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 12.67 (-0.44)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 1.92 (+0.10)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 2.87 (+0.02)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Call (SSBLU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 8000 12.49 (-0.63)          Anaconda H$30 Call (ANAC3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 81.59 (-0.91)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 100000 4.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 81.59 (-0.91)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 125000 257.22 (+0.78)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 61.59 (-0.47)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 65.29 (-1.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 173.29 (+1.80)          Anaconda H$30 Call (ANAC3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 100000 19.61 (+2.10)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 15000 173.29 (+1.80)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.90 (-0.10)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.90 (-0.10)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 100000 5.24 (+0.44)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.24 (+0.44)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 136.63 (+0.34)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 140000 25.62 (+1.82)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 25.62 (+1.82)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)