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Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm}

Posted by: benz0 on Dec 27, 14:16 in response to CSBD's post yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.46 (-2.76)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.46 (-2.76)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.77 (-1.77)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.77 (-1.77)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 5000 60.46 (-2.76)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 7.70 (-0.20)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 1 7.70 (-0.20)          Sentimental Value (SENTV) 150000 4.40 (+0.13)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 150000 1.32 (-0.04)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 150000 1.32 (-0.04)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 14.30 (-0.54)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.03 (+0.56)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 7.70 (-0.20)          Peaked (PEAKD) 131895 7.97 (-0.03)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 1 7.70 (-0.20)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 3.61 (-0.06)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 3.61 (-0.06)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.03 (+0.56)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Mastermind (MSTMN) 150000 1.15 (+0.01)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.77 (-1.77)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 14.30 (-0.54)          Sentimental Value (SENTV) 150000 4.40 (+0.13)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 14.30 (-0.54)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.08 (-0.50)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 19.93 (-0.25)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 27.08 (-0.50)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 19.93 (-0.25)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 14.30 (-0.54)          Bullitt (BULIT) 40000 22.17 (+0.15)          David (DAVID) 41737 76.36 (-1.22)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.46 (-0.32)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 150000 1.61 (+0.04)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.88 (+0.57)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.46 (-0.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 47748 117.73 (-4.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Christine (CRSTN) 100 17.58 (+0.89)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 3076 117.73 (-4.10)          David (DAVID) 19999 76.36 (-1.22)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 9999 60.46 (-2.76)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.40 (-0.30)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.40 (-0.30)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.47 (-1.92)