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The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Dec 27, 09:53 in response to second gary's post Warning: this post contains an "if / then"...

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 1800 6.70 (+0.05)          Babies (BBIES) 28412 10.00 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 50500 61.77 (-0.06)          Babies (BBIES) 124590 10.00 (0.00)          Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 25000 6.70 (+0.05)          Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 700 6.70 (+0.05)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 165.83 (-0.43)          Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 22500 6.70 (+0.05)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 59000 54.31 (+0.02)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 25000 9.09 (-0.04)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 28751 232.59 (-0.47)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 52667 127.08 (-0.18)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Gatto (GATTO) 5000 112.04 (+0.02)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 3000 10.05 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 37837 11.89 (-0.01)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 1000 23.34 (+0.02)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 5000 151.69 (-0.08)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 8606 65.05 (-0.25)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 3000 5.85 (-0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 120000 63.83 (+1.63)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.10)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 3000 100.51 (+0.60)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 3000 11.49 (+0.04)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Call (SSBLU.CA) 25000 2.82 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 30000 5.93 (+0.06)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5000 80.73 (+0.01)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.73 (+0.89)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.73 (+0.89)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.89 (-0.01)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 5000 98.58 (+0.09)          The Authority (AUTHO) 25000 16.44 (-0.09)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 12.04 (-0.05)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 10082 69.81 (-0.02)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 45000 63.83 (+1.63)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 3000 6.66 (-0.01)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 3.00 (-0.03)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 300.00 (+0.30)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 5000 75.31 (-0.09)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 71.27 (-0.75)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 71.27 (-0.75)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.10)          Static Shock (STATC) 5000 3.61 (+0.01)          Tangled (TANGL) 6006 86.99 (-0.37)