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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 20000 26.54 (+0.11)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 60000 199.62 (-6.48)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 60000 199.62 (-6.48)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 100000 13.48 (+1.38)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 1000 33.33 (-0.84)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.81 (+0.04)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.81 (+0.04)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 1 33.33 (-0.84)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 22.30 (+0.37)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 1000 33.33 (-0.84)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.41 (-0.43)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.41 (-0.43)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 5000 100.38 (-1.19)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 5000 121.93 (-2.43)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Proxy (PROXY) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          Proxy (PROXY) 150000 0.04 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.38 (+0.65)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.38 (+0.65)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.70 (+1.07)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.70 (+1.07)          White Elephant (WELEP) 55000 18.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.48 (+1.38)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.48 (+1.38)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 199.62 (-6.48)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 2000 41.05 (+1.00)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 5000 41.05 (+1.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 48.05 (-0.80)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 48.05 (-0.80)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 10000 246.40 (+2.43)          Tony (TONY) 150000 16.22 (+3.28)          White Elephant (WELEP) 2000 18.00 (0.00)          Jake Johnson (JMJOH) 25000 136.97 (-0.66)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.70 (+1.07)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 5.84 (+0.09)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 5.84 (+0.09)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.63 (-0.39)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.63 (-0.39)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 4.42 (-0.35)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 10.92 (0.00)          Gugu Mbatha-Raw (GMBAT) 25000 14.38 (-0.10)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 14 246.40 (+2.43)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 1 2.00 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)