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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 49 167.52 (-7.12)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 217.90 (+1.16)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 2.81 (0.00)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 150000 2.49 (+0.03)          Reykjavik (REYKJ) 150000 2.67 (+0.02)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 150000 2.66 (0.00)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 2.09 (-0.02)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 0.23 (+0.02)          Armand (ARMAN) 150000 0.44 (0.00)          Lucca Mortis (LUCAM) 150000 0.29 (+0.02)          Grand Theft Hamlet (GTHAM) 150000 0.11 (0.00)          Brides (BRIDS) 150000 5.64 (-0.94)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 167.52 (-7.12)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 1 167.52 (-7.12)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 12500 82.77 (-0.47)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 25000 100.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 63.51 (-0.25)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 20.68 (-0.05)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 159.85 (-0.23)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 159.85 (-0.23)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 159.85 (-0.23)          Disney's Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 167.52 (-7.12)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 159.85 (-0.23)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 11.39 (-1.28)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 11.39 (-1.28)          Tangled (TANGL) 50000 100.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Ash (ASH) 75000 3.77 (-0.13)          Marc Webb (MWEBB) 25000 124.22 (-1.93)          Brides (BRIDS) 150000 5.64 (-0.94)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 25.41 (-1.07)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 11.39 (-1.28)          Clika (CLIKA) 150000 13.77 (+0.77)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 25000 45.31 (+0.94)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 1 37.22 (-0.10)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 25000 29.20 (+2.33)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 11.02 (+1.05)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Put (MINEC.PU) 295 1.26 (-0.22)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie - Opening Week (MINEC.OW) 1249 67.59 (+0.82)          A Minecraft Movie H$65 Call (MINEC.CA) 822 3.55 (+0.40)          Meet the Parents 4 (MPRN4) 40000 69.80 (-1.05)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 100.00 (0.00)