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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Pressure (PRSUR) 10 17.91 (+0.15)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 720 7.13 (-0.64)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 50000 30.62 (-1.01)          Sweat (SWEAT) 3000 8.35 (-0.02)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 8 216.01 (+1.38)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 8 216.01 (+1.38)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.35 (-0.21)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.35 (-0.21)          Passenger (PSNGR) 12 28.31 (+0.23)          Harmonia (HARMO) 12000 2.81 (-0.01)          In the Grey (NGREY) 50 20.58 (+0.14)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 8 48.26 (-0.32)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 10000 84.83 (+0.89)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 8 48.26 (-0.32)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 8 211.85 (+1.15)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 2000 7.13 (-0.64)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 100 7.13 (-0.64)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Morgan Freeman (MFREE) 25000 21.36 (+0.37)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 5 19.33 (-0.03)          Morgan Freeman (MFREE) 25000 21.36 (+0.37)          Jason Reitman (JREIT) 25000 29.10 (-0.37)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25 392.44 (-6.60)          Jason Reitman (JREIT) 25000 29.10 (-0.37)          Dreams (DREMS) 400 0.08 (-0.02)          Sunny (SUNNY) 4 17.54 (-0.07)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 84.52 (-1.58)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 84.52 (-1.58)          Cailee Spaeny (CSPAE) 25000 43.06 (+1.33)          Cailee Spaeny (CSPAE) 25000 43.06 (+1.33)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 25000 21.38 (+1.05)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 25000 21.38 (+1.05)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 12.40 (-0.69)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 158.29 (+0.24)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 12.40 (-0.69)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 50.46 (+4.71)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 90.37 (-0.26)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 149997 4.87 (-0.06)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 1 7.13 (-0.64)          Highlander (HIGHL) 1057 41.65 (+0.19)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 499 88.54 (-0.56)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 150000 23.27 (+3.27)          Gundam (GUNDM) 149992 12.40 (-0.69)          Gundam (GUNDM) 149992 12.40 (-0.69)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 149993 6.63 (+0.77)          Ibelin (IBELN) 149993 6.63 (+0.77)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.00 (0.00)