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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

 

Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25 158.75 (0.00)          Everytime (EVRTM) 33 0.27 (0.00)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 150000 33.66 (-0.20)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149997 6.75 (+0.90)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 41472 230.32 (+1.54)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149993 6.75 (+0.90)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 100000 53.85 (+0.47)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 150000 13.92 (-0.04)          Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 25000 80.60 (-0.50)          April X (APRLX) 150000 1.12 (-0.03)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 22 6.53 (0.00)          Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 26.98 (+0.29)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 69.18 (+0.25)          Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 632 15.63 (+0.06)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149996 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149993 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 2000 4.00 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 2000 6.00 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10000 7.57 (-1.07)          Helldivers (HELDV) 120000 111.76 (+1.03)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 9000 0.30 (+0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 45 697.19 (+9.87)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 25000 59.32 (+0.33)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 110 697.19 (+9.87)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Fence (TCOTG) 1000 0.07 (+0.02)          Tony (TONY) 12026 14.92 (+0.11)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 50000 46.95 (-2.73)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 2026 0.30 (+0.02)          One Night Only (ONTON) 7 19.40 (-0.63)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 31000 8.46 (-0.02)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 10000 180.62 (+0.29)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 12 448.70 (+1.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10000 7.57 (-1.07)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Hercules (HRCUL) 10000 14.93 (-0.02)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 1000 4.00 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 12026 4.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 1.80 (-0.20)