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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 165.45 (+0.55)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 1000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 1000 2.00 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 255.27 (+1.02)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.85 (+0.23)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 244.87 (+1.21)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 240.46 (+0.92)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 373.72 (-0.01)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.85 (+0.23)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 149000 219.25 (+9.07)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.82 (-0.18)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 25000 219.25 (+9.07)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.70 (+1.56)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 1.73 (-0.05)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 51569 221.19 (+1.60)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 0.57 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 219.25 (+9.07)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 221.19 (+1.60)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 25000 58.16 (-0.11)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 50000 110.46 (0.00)          Empire City (EMPCT) 16 17.76 (-0.06)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 50000 161.64 (+0.66)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 50000 158.76 (+0.06)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 75000 156.54 (+0.12)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 50000 292.68 (+0.60)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 250 85.41 (-0.32)          Varanasi (VARAN) 149996 9.75 (-1.61)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 9.75 (-1.61)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.11)          Varanasi (VARAN) 149998 9.75 (-1.61)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 149996 14.70 (+1.56)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 149998 14.70 (+1.56)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.83 (-2.56)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 149996 21.27 (+1.27)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 4000 7.90 (+0.01)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 1 55.73 (-0.05)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 1 2.00 (0.00)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.56 (+0.40)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 1 2.00 (0.00)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 2000 44.46 (+0.18)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 25000 241.36 (+1.00)