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Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 27, 10:07 in response to Rocket123 aka PVL Admin's post Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I...

The past week had been higher than my initial conservative projections last week, and I had delist of just over 800 then.

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Warning: this post contains an "if / then" statement on the STAR7 delist. second gary Dec 27, 09:31

The real *large* complicating factor is STAR7 dropped 38% while AVATR only dropped 1.8%. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 09:53

If I remember correctly, there was a big snowstorm that hit the northeast during Avatar's first weekend. {nm} fourstars Dec 27, 10:00

AVATR was a word of mouth smash. It had bad buzz going into opening weekend. There was no fanbase to frontload opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:08

yep. a bunch of people who planned to go opening weekend couldn't do so and went the following weekend. {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 10:11

Have an excuse for its 9.4% drop from weekend 2 to weekend 3? {nm} benz0 Dec 27, 14:16

'cause people liked it a lot? why do you need an excuse? {nm} CSBD Dec 27, 18:31

+1 {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 27, 19:20

The changing nature of Thursday previews complicates comping OW to second weekend drops. RogerMore's database lists AVATR's R previews. . . second gary Dec 27, 10:02

The completely original AVATR is a "ceiling comp" for the sequel STAR7 with a built-in fanbase. {nm} Antibody Dec 27, 10:03

I saw it this afternoon, and its ticketholder line-up (in suburban Toronto) had the strangest demographic mix I've ever seen. second gary Dec 27, 16:49

Based on this weekend's performance (stellar as it is), I am moving DOWN my delist calculation for STAR7. (no if / then clauses) Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 27, 09:54

pretty cosistant over the weekend. all right around 50m. That % drop was off monster numbers. {nm} tradermark Dec 27, 09:56

Still over 800 delist based on my own calculations xiayun Dec 27, 10:07

I'm thinking delist would go around 830M. {nm} Filmstardust Dec 27, 12:52

I'm with you and xiayun, low 800's MattW Dec 27, 13:31

Weekdays this week will be much higher than 25 per day xiayun Dec 27, 15:13





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Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 303.49 (-1.52)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 303.49 (-1.52)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 139.09 (-3.60)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 139.09 (-3.60)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 1 25.78 (-0.25)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 1 25.78 (-0.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 203.85 (-1.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 203.85 (-1.06)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 232.31 (-2.60)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 1 8.11 (-0.02)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 1 8.11 (-0.02)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 1 0.24 (-0.02)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 1 0.24 (-0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 116.58 (-1.18)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 14.08 (-2.31)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 14.08 (-2.31)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 21277 423.30 (+8.28)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 50000 40.62 (-0.91)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.41 (-0.18)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.41 (-0.18)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 3.96 (+0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 25000 59.65 (-0.16)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 10000 20.52 (+0.52)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 139.09 (-3.60)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.42 (-1.93)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.42 (-1.93)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 139.09 (-3.60)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 25000 140.27 (-0.60)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 20000 140.27 (-0.60)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.42 (-1.93)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 25000 56.96 (+0.13)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 20000 56.96 (+0.13)          Sing 3 (SING3) 150000 55.12 (+2.43)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.42 (-1.93)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.42 (-1.93)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.84 (-0.58)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 20.52 (+0.52)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 12.77 (-3.42)          Snoop Dogg (SDOGG) 5000 36.80 (+0.15)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20 139.09 (-3.60)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 2550 2.49 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 100000 9.94 (-2.58)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20 139.09 (-3.60)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 50000 20.52 (+0.52)          Moana (MOAN1) 129 232.31 (-2.60)